Corteva Valuation

Is CTVA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CTVA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CTVA ($58.76) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($64.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CTVA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CTVA?

Key metric: As CTVA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CTVA. This is calculated by dividing CTVA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CTVA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio60.3x
EarningsUS$670.00m
Market CapUS$40.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CTVA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CTVA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.5x
CF CF Industries Holdings
13.4x-6.5%US$15.2b
MOS Mosaic
21.8x26.9%US$8.1b
FMC FMC
4.7x-18.3%US$6.9b
ICL ICL Group
14.2x17.9%US$5.7b
CTVA Corteva
60.3x26.2%US$40.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CTVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.3x) compared to the peer average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CTVA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FFHL Fuwei Films (Holdings)
2.8xn/aUS$27.11m
BSLK Bolt Projects Holdings
0.06xn/aUS$9.40m
BON Bon Natural Life
2.4xn/aUS$5.36m
GSPI Green Star Products
1.7xn/aUS$1.49m
CTVA 60.3xIndustry Avg. 22.6xNo. of Companies7PE01224364860+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CTVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.3x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (22.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CTVA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CTVA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio60.3x
Fair PE Ratio29.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CTVA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (60.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CTVA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$58.76
US$65.55
+11.5%
6.8%US$71.00US$57.00n/a22
Nov ’25US$60.86
US$64.05
+5.2%
7.6%US$70.00US$55.00n/a22
Oct ’25US$57.99
US$63.13
+8.9%
7.3%US$70.00US$55.00n/a22
Sep ’25US$57.30
US$63.13
+10.2%
7.3%US$70.00US$55.00n/a22
Aug ’25US$53.00
US$63.28
+19.4%
6.5%US$70.00US$56.00n/a21
Jul ’25US$53.07
US$63.23
+19.2%
6.8%US$70.00US$54.00n/a21
Jun ’25US$55.94
US$63.65
+13.8%
6.8%US$70.00US$54.00n/a20
May ’25US$53.91
US$62.40
+15.8%
7.5%US$70.00US$53.00n/a23
Apr ’25US$57.68
US$61.71
+7.0%
7.7%US$70.00US$53.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$53.66
US$61.64
+14.9%
7.4%US$70.00US$53.00n/a24
Feb ’25US$54.06
US$59.18
+9.5%
9.9%US$70.00US$50.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$47.92
US$58.99
+23.1%
9.6%US$71.80US$50.00n/a24
Dec ’24US$46.20
US$58.99
+27.7%
9.6%US$71.80US$50.00n/a24
Nov ’24US$47.74
US$65.69
+37.6%
10.7%US$82.00US$53.00US$60.8623
Oct ’24US$51.16
US$68.88
+34.6%
8.2%US$82.00US$57.00US$57.9922
Sep ’24US$51.11
US$69.01
+35.0%
8.3%US$82.00US$57.00US$57.3022
Aug ’24US$55.94
US$69.84
+24.8%
8.3%US$82.00US$57.00US$53.0023
Jul ’24US$57.30
US$71.49
+24.8%
7.2%US$82.00US$61.00US$53.0723
Jun ’24US$53.86
US$71.97
+33.6%
7.8%US$87.00US$61.00US$55.9422
May ’24US$61.46
US$72.90
+18.6%
8.1%US$87.00US$60.00US$53.9121
Apr ’24US$60.31
US$73.09
+21.2%
7.8%US$87.00US$60.00US$57.6821
Mar ’24US$62.15
US$72.88
+17.3%
8.1%US$87.00US$60.00US$53.6621
Feb ’24US$64.48
US$73.12
+13.4%
7.7%US$87.00US$62.00US$54.0621
Jan ’24US$58.78
US$72.38
+23.1%
7.8%US$87.00US$62.00US$47.9220
Dec ’23US$66.25
US$72.58
+9.5%
8.0%US$87.00US$62.00US$46.2020
Nov ’23US$67.11
US$70.10
+4.5%
6.8%US$80.00US$61.00US$47.7420

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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