ICL Group Valuation

Is ICL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ICL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ICL ($4.28) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($4.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ICL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ICL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ICL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.2x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ICL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ICL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.3x
FMC FMC
4.6x-18.3%US$7.4b
MOS Mosaic
33.7x30.8%US$8.9b
CF CF Industries Holdings
12.6x-6.5%US$14.8b
UAN CVR Partners
14.5xn/aUS$758.3m
ICL ICL Group
13.7x15.5%US$5.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ICL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the peer average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ICL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ICL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the US Chemicals industry average (25.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ICL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ICL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.7x
Fair PE Ratio20.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ICL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ICL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.28
US$4.74
+10.7%
10.4%US$5.50US$4.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$4.15
US$4.74
+14.2%
10.4%US$5.50US$4.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$4.26
US$4.76
+11.7%
10.5%US$5.50US$4.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$4.59
US$4.76
+3.7%
10.5%US$5.50US$4.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$4.07
US$4.96
+21.9%
6.6%US$5.50US$4.50n/a5
Jul ’25US$4.16
US$5.20
+25.0%
9.3%US$6.00US$4.50n/a5
Jun ’25US$4.73
US$5.20
+9.9%
9.3%US$6.00US$4.50n/a5
May ’25US$4.53
US$5.32
+17.4%
8.4%US$6.00US$4.50n/a6
Apr ’25US$5.32
US$5.31
-0.2%
9.1%US$6.00US$4.50n/a5
Mar ’25US$5.38
US$5.38
0%
9.1%US$6.00US$4.50n/a5
Feb ’25US$4.65
US$5.28
+13.5%
12.8%US$6.00US$4.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$5.01
US$6.03
+20.4%
8.0%US$6.50US$5.40n/a5
Dec ’24US$5.13
US$6.13
+19.5%
9.9%US$7.00US$5.40n/a5
Nov ’24US$4.85
US$6.59
+35.9%
6.1%US$7.00US$6.00US$4.155
Oct ’24US$5.55
US$6.74
+21.4%
5.8%US$7.00US$6.00US$4.265
Sep ’24US$6.08
US$6.74
+10.9%
5.8%US$7.00US$6.00US$4.595
Aug ’24US$6.49
US$6.74
+3.9%
5.8%US$7.00US$6.00US$4.075
Jul ’24US$5.48
US$6.88
+25.5%
6.8%US$7.40US$6.00US$4.165
Jun ’24US$5.50
US$7.28
+32.4%
5.4%US$8.00US$7.00US$4.735
May ’24US$6.11
US$8.12
+32.9%
10.1%US$9.10US$7.00US$4.535
Apr ’24US$6.80
US$8.72
+28.2%
4.8%US$9.10US$8.00US$5.325
Mar ’24US$7.20
US$8.72
+21.1%
4.8%US$9.10US$8.00US$5.385
Feb ’24US$8.08
US$9.34
+15.6%
5.7%US$10.00US$8.50US$4.655
Jan ’24US$7.31
US$10.24
+40.1%
10.7%US$12.00US$9.00US$5.015
Dec ’23US$8.26
US$10.58
+28.1%
10.8%US$12.00US$9.00US$5.135
Nov ’23US$9.14
US$11.08
+21.2%
8.2%US$12.00US$10.00US$4.855

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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