Stock Analysis

Does New Production Guidance and H1 Results Change The Bull Case For Buenaventura (BVN)?

NYSE:BVN
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  • Compañía de Minas Buenaventura released its operating and sales results for the first half of 2025, along with updated full-year production guidance for gold, silver, lead, zinc, and copper.
  • The detailed production and sales figures, paired with forward-looking targets, give investors more insight into the company's near-term operating performance and expectations.
  • We’ll assess how Buenaventura’s new production guidance and first-half output may influence expectations for the San Gabriel project as a growth driver.

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Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Compañía de Minas Buenaventura, you generally need to believe in the company’s ability to ramp up gold production, especially as the San Gabriel project nears its planned first gold bar in late 2025. The latest production and guidance update is in line with near-term expectations and does not suggest a material shift to the San Gabriel project timeline or current risk profile, including possible cost overruns or execution delays.

Of the recent company updates, the 2025 production guidance stands out as most relevant. By providing clear targets for gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc output amidst the year’s first half results, Buenaventura puts a spotlight on how actual performance is tracking versus expectations, which matters for confidence in the San Gabriel project as the main catalyst.

By contrast, the biggest risk investors should be aware of remains the potential for higher all-in sustaining costs if ore grades fall or exploration costs rise…

Read the full narrative on Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA (it's free!)

Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's outlook projects $1.4 billion in revenue and $505.1 million in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes 5.6% annual revenue growth and a $101.4 million increase in earnings from the current level of $403.7 million.

Uncover how Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's forecasts yield a $16.77 fair value, a 4% downside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

BVN Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025
BVN Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025

Simply Wall St Community valuations for Buenaventura range from US$7.76 to US$22.78 across four estimates. With ongoing focus on San Gabriel’s execution, you can see how different outlooks reflect varied expectations for the project’s overall impact.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA - why the stock might be worth as much as 31% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:BVN

Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA

Engages in the exploration, mining, concentration, smelting, and marketing of polymetallic ores and metals in Peru.

Proven track record with adequate balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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