Stock Analysis

Pinning Down ATI Inc.'s (NYSE:ATI) P/S Is Difficult Right Now

NYSE:ATI
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 1.3x in the Metals and Mining industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about ATI Inc.'s (NYSE:ATI) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for ATI

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ATI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 29th 2024

What Does ATI's Recent Performance Look Like?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, ATI has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on ATI.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

ATI's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. The latest three year period has also seen a 23% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 5.5% per year during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 540% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that ATI's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From ATI's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Given that ATI's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for ATI that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ATI is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.