If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Albemarle (NYSE:ALB), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Albemarle, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.032 = US$467m ÷ (US$18b - US$3.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
Thus, Albemarle has an ROCE of 3.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 9.8%.
See our latest analysis for Albemarle
In the above chart we have measured Albemarle's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Albemarle .
What Can We Tell From Albemarle's ROCE Trend?
In terms of Albemarle's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 3.2% from 12% five years ago. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.
The Key Takeaway
While returns have fallen for Albemarle in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. Furthermore the stock has climbed 61% over the last five years, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.
Albemarle does have some risks, we noticed 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
While Albemarle may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:ALB
Albemarle
Develops, manufactures, and markets engineered specialty chemicals worldwide.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.