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Alcoa First Quarter 2025 Earnings: EPS Beats Expectations, Revenues Lag
Alcoa (NYSE:AA) First Quarter 2025 Results
Key Financial Results
- Revenue: US$3.37b (up 30% from 1Q 2024).
- Net income: US$539.0m (up from US$252.0m loss in 1Q 2024).
- Profit margin: 16% (up from net loss in 1Q 2024).
- EPS: US$2.08 (up from US$1.41 loss in 1Q 2024).
All figures shown in the chart above are for the trailing 12 month (TTM) period
Alcoa EPS Beats Expectations, Revenues Fall Short
Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.9%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 38%.
Looking ahead, revenue is forecast to stay flat during the next 3 years compared to a 4.6% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in the US.
Performance of the American Metals and Mining industry.
The company's share price is broadly unchanged from a week ago.
Risk Analysis
It is worth noting though that we have found 2 warning signs for Alcoa that you need to take into consideration.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:AA
Alcoa
Engages in the bauxite mining, alumina refining, aluminum production, and energy generation business in Australia, Brazil, Canada, Iceland, Norway, Spain, the United States, and internationally.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.
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Trending Discussion
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StevenM on Excellon Resources ·
Interesting analysis, but the price trajectory assumed for the baseline metals is problematic. These assumptions form the foundation for the entire case, and when compared against historical pricing, don’t appear to be grounded in any reasonable precedent. Even accounting for past commodity super-cycles, inflationary periods, or supply constraints, the forecasted pricing for gold, silver, zinc, and lead are well outside what history would suggest is plausible over comparable timeframes. That creates a fragile premise as the conclusions are driven by aggressive inputs rather than underlying market behavior that is realistic. The analysis would be materially stronger if the price assumptions were anchored to historical ranges and prior cycle peaks, with explicit rationale where the model intentionally departs from those patterns. As it stands, the trajectory feels more aspirational than analytical.
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