Alcoa Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Alcoa is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 105.5% and 4.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 109.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.7% in 3 years.
Key information
105.5%
Earnings growth rate
109.8%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining earnings growth | 16.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.2% |
| Future return on equity | 7.7% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 22 Apr 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Alcoa Earnings Preview: The Set Up Could Lead To A Selloff
Apr 14Investors Aren't Buying Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Revenues
Apr 09
Alcoa's Purchase Of Alumina Limited: The Market Is Right On This One
Feb 26What It Takes For Alcoa Stock To Double
Jan 19Alcoa: Hold This Major Aluminum Producer
Dec 26Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29%
Dec 25Alcoa: Highly Cyclical And Getting Ready To Run Again
Dec 04Alcoa Has A Very Bright Future, But Not Without Risks
Oct 23Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10
Oct 22Alcoa Corporation Is Still Not Cheap Enough
Sep 25Is Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Using Debt Sensibly?
Sep 17Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10
Jul 31Why Alcoa Could Double If Demand Improves
Jul 20Is Alcoa (NYSE:AA) A Risky Investment?
Jun 19Alcoa: Exploring The Mystery Of High Tax Rates
Jun 12Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Will Pay A Dividend Of $0.10
May 08Returns On Capital At Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Paint A Concerning Picture
Apr 25Alcoa declares $0.10 dividend
Feb 23Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Feb 21Alcoa Stock: A Sleeper Pick That Could Wake Up With A Bang!
Feb 09Alcoa Q4 2022 Earnings Preview: Holders will survive even if results let down, current valuations solid
Jan 17Alcoa: Aluminum Colossus On Alumina Legs
Jan 09Alcoa's Stock Surges After Reporting Worse Than Expected Results
Oct 26Alcoa's (NYSE:AA) Dividend Will Be $0.10
Oct 23Alcoa Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.33 misses by $0.51, revenue of $2.85B misses by $120M
Oct 19Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Oct 10Alcoa: Wait For It To Become Cheaper
Sep 27Alcoa: The Huge Bull Case Beyond Current Gloom And Doom
Sep 19Here's Why We Think Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Might Deserve Your Attention Today
Sep 12Under The Bonnet, Alcoa's (NYSE:AA) Returns Look Impressive
Aug 30Alcoa's Shares Had An Impressive Run, But Now Fairly Valued After Pullback
Aug 18Alcoa: Comparatively Lower Forward-Looking Demand For Aluminum
Aug 08Alcoa declares $0.10 dividend
Jul 28Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2026 | 11,763 | 532 | 212 | 790 | 7 |
| 12/31/2025 | 11,268 | 429 | 239 | 806 | 10 |
| 12/31/2024 | 10,833 | -188 | -172 | 312 | 9 |
| 3/31/2024 | 10,480 | -672 | -518 | 31 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 10,551 | -651 | -440 | 91 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 10,619 | -896 | -503 | 11 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 10,868 | -1,474 | -421 | 76 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 11,828 | -823 | 136 | 625 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 12,451 | -123 | 342 | 822 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 13,128 | -120 | 807 | 1,269 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 13,386 | 963 | 1,153 | 1,570 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 12,575 | 723 | 559 | 948 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 12,152 | 429 | 530 | 920 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 11,204 | 817 | 45 | 393 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 10,460 | 431 | -223 | 116 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 9,775 | -75 | 153 | 490 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 9,286 | -170 | 41 | 394 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 9,330 | -469 | 242 | 618 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 9,532 | -641 | 245 | 634 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 10,095 | -846 | 27 | 428 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 10,433 | -1,125 | 307 | 686 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 11,341 | -771 | 566 | 959 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 12,164 | -556 | 685 | 1,073 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 13,032 | -144 | 167 | 561 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 13,403 | 250 | 49 | 448 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 13,233 | 3 | -33 | 368 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 12,807 | 122 | 49 | 464 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 12,087 | 187 | 797 | 1,205 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 11,652 | 279 | N/A | 1,224 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 11,015 | 288 | N/A | 1,008 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 10,380 | 165 | N/A | 515 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 9,844 | 35 | N/A | 122 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 9,318 | -400 | N/A | -311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 9,232 | -1,101 | N/A | -497 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 9,582 | -1,215 | N/A | -77 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 10,223 | -1,239 | N/A | 254 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 11,199 | -863 | N/A | 875 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 13,147 | -256 | N/A | 842 | N/A |
| 12/31/2013 | 12,573 | -2,909 | N/A | 452 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AA is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.3%).
Earnings vs Market: AA is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: AA is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AA's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AA's revenue (4.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.7%).