Alcoa Corporation

NYSE:AA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$8.9b

Alcoa Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Alcoa is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 21.4% and 2.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 21.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.2% in 3 years.

Key information

21.4%

Earnings growth rate

21.9%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth15.4%
Revenue growth rate2.2%
Future return on equity11.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated14 Feb 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Is Using Debt Extensively

Feb 21
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Is Using Debt Extensively

The 'Trump Factor' In Action: Why I'm Bullish On Alcoa

Feb 11

Alcoa: The Tides Have Shifted To A Bullish Market

Jan 30

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Jan 16
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Alcoa: Learn How To Trade A Sentiment-Based Stock (Technical Analysis)

Jan 06

Alcoa Corporation: Bearish Market, And Tariff Uncertainty Blur Positive Signals, Hold

Dec 31

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Is Using Debt Extensively

Nov 11
These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Is Using Debt Extensively

Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10

Oct 20
Alcoa (NYSE:AA) Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of $0.10

Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Oct 16
Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Alcoa's Financial Position Is Improving: Upgraded To A Buy Rating

Sep 22

Little Excitement Around Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Revenues As Shares Take 30% Pounding

Aug 03
Little Excitement Around Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Revenues As Shares Take 30% Pounding

Alcoa Corporation: Great News Justifies Additional Upside

Jul 11

What Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) 30% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

May 31
What Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) 30% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Alcoa: Time For A Brief Commercial Break - Then What? (Technical Analysis)

May 28

Is Alcoa (NYSE:AA) A Risky Investment?

May 23
Is Alcoa (NYSE:AA) A Risky Investment?

Alcoa Earnings Preview: The Set Up Could Lead To A Selloff

Apr 14

Investors Aren't Buying Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Revenues

Apr 09
Investors Aren't Buying Alcoa Corporation's (NYSE:AA) Revenues

Alcoa's Purchase Of Alumina Limited: The Market Is Right On This One

Feb 26

What It Takes For Alcoa Stock To Double

Jan 19

Alcoa: Hold This Major Aluminum Producer

Dec 26

Alcoa: Highly Cyclical And Getting Ready To Run Again

Dec 04

Alcoa Has A Very Bright Future, But Not Without Risks

Oct 23

Alcoa Corporation Is Still Not Cheap Enough

Sep 25

Why Alcoa Could Double If Demand Improves

Jul 20

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:AA - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202713,2038961,1791,4426
12/31/202612,7758826111,41211
12/31/202513,3529754381,22911
12/31/202411,8955642622N/A
9/30/202411,004-292-194405N/A
6/30/202410,702-550-267331N/A
3/31/202410,480-672-51831N/A
12/31/202310,551-651-44091N/A
9/30/202310,619-896-50311N/A
6/30/202310,868-1,474-42176N/A
3/31/202311,828-823136625N/A
12/31/202212,451-123342822N/A
9/30/202213,128-1208071,269N/A
6/30/202213,3869631,1531,570N/A
3/31/202212,575723559948N/A
12/31/202112,152429530920N/A
9/30/202111,20481745393N/A
6/30/202110,460431-223116N/A
3/31/20219,775-75153490N/A
12/31/20209,286-17041394N/A
9/30/20209,330-469242618N/A
6/30/20209,532-641245634N/A
3/31/202010,095-84627428N/A
12/31/201910,433-1,125307686N/A
9/30/201911,341-771566959N/A
6/30/201912,164-5566851,073N/A
3/31/201913,032-144167561N/A
12/31/201813,40325049448N/A
9/30/201813,2333N/A368N/A
6/30/201812,807122N/A464N/A
3/31/201812,087187N/A1,205N/A
12/31/201711,652279N/A1,224N/A
9/30/201711,015288N/A1,008N/A
6/30/201710,380165N/A515N/A
3/31/20179,84435N/A122N/A
12/31/20169,318-400N/A-311N/A
9/30/20169,232-1,101N/A-497N/A
6/30/20169,582-1,215N/A-77N/A
3/31/201610,223-1,239N/A254N/A
12/31/201511,199-863N/A875N/A
12/31/201413,147-256N/A842N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AA's forecast earnings growth (21.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: AA's earnings (21.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AA's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AA's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (8.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AA's revenue (2.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AA's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/22 10:02
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alcoa Corporation is covered by 26 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Paretosh MisraBerenberg