Stock Analysis

We Think Schnitzer Steel Industries (NASDAQ:SCHN) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NasdaqGS:RDUS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Schnitzer Steel Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:SCHN) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Schnitzer Steel Industries

What Is Schnitzer Steel Industries's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of February 2023 Schnitzer Steel Industries had US$310.1m of debt, an increase on US$261.6m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$11.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$298.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:SCHN Debt to Equity History April 26th 2023

How Strong Is Schnitzer Steel Industries' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Schnitzer Steel Industries had liabilities of US$321.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$531.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$11.5m and US$242.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$598.3m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$809.6m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Schnitzer Steel Industries' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.6, Schnitzer Steel Industries uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the alluring interest cover (EBIT of 7.9 times interest expense) certainly does not do anything to dispel this impression. It is just as well that Schnitzer Steel Industries's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 50% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Schnitzer Steel Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Schnitzer Steel Industries's free cash flow amounted to 41% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Mulling over Schnitzer Steel Industries's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Schnitzer Steel Industries's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Schnitzer Steel Industries .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.