Manulife Financial Corporation

NYSE:MFC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$56.9b

Manulife Financial Valuation

Is MFC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MFC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MFC ($32.47) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($74.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MFC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MFC?

Key metric: As MFC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MFC. This is calculated by dividing MFC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MFC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsCA$5.10b
Market CapCA$79.48b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MFC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MFC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
AFL Aflac
16.4x-1.7%US$62.4b
MET MetLife
16.8x13.2%US$60.0b
PRU Prudential Financial
11.2x6.8%US$45.5b
UNM Unum Group
7.9x-3.9%US$13.8b
MFC Manulife Financial
15.6x13.4%US$79.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (13.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MFC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
UTGN UTG
2xn/aUS$89.08m
AORE.F American Overseas Group
2.1xn/aUS$16.68m
CUII China United Insurance Service
0.0003xn/aUS$3.13k
No more companies available in this PE range
MFC 15.6xIndustry Avg. 13.7xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (13.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MFC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MFC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MFC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MFC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$32.47
US$33.34
+2.7%
9.1%US$35.80US$24.34n/a14
Nov ’25US$29.47
US$30.02
+1.9%
10.2%US$34.53US$24.46n/a15
Oct ’25US$29.52
US$28.96
-1.9%
6.8%US$31.82US$25.16n/a15
Sep ’25US$27.61
US$28.61
+3.6%
7.0%US$31.42US$24.85n/a14
Aug ’25US$25.67
US$27.46
+7.0%
10.0%US$31.04US$21.65n/a15
Jul ’25US$26.30
US$27.00
+2.7%
9.7%US$31.40US$21.91n/a15
Jun ’25US$25.96
US$26.96
+3.8%
9.5%US$31.47US$21.95n/a15
May ’25US$23.57
US$25.84
+9.6%
9.6%US$29.28US$21.96n/a15
Apr ’25US$24.60
US$25.72
+4.5%
9.1%US$29.53US$22.15n/a15
Mar ’25US$23.88
US$25.30
+5.9%
10.8%US$29.50US$19.32n/a16
Feb ’25US$21.88
US$22.63
+3.4%
6.4%US$25.39US$19.57n/a14
Jan ’25US$22.10
US$21.77
-1.5%
7.7%US$25.01US$19.13n/a14
Dec ’24US$19.72
US$21.13
+7.1%
8.2%US$24.82US$17.52n/a14
Nov ’24US$17.69
US$20.61
+16.5%
7.4%US$23.08US$17.31US$29.4714
Oct ’24US$18.28
US$21.20
+16.0%
7.6%US$24.30US$17.67US$29.5214
Sep ’24US$18.63
US$21.46
+15.2%
7.7%US$24.36US$17.71US$27.6116
Aug ’24US$19.78
US$21.87
+10.6%
8.2%US$26.44US$18.13US$25.6717
Jul ’24US$18.91
US$22.04
+16.5%
8.4%US$26.54US$18.20US$26.3015
Jun ’24US$18.77
US$21.31
+13.5%
7.9%US$25.83US$18.45US$25.9616
May ’24US$19.82
US$21.31
+7.5%
8.0%US$24.93US$18.33US$23.5716
Apr ’24US$18.36
US$21.05
+14.6%
7.3%US$24.78US$18.22US$24.6016
Mar ’24US$20.00
US$21.20
+6.0%
7.4%US$25.05US$18.42US$23.8816
Feb ’24US$20.04
US$20.42
+1.9%
8.2%US$25.39US$18.67US$21.8816
Jan ’24US$17.84
US$19.48
+9.2%
7.0%US$22.62US$17.34US$22.1015
Dec ’23US$18.12
US$19.48
+7.5%
7.0%US$22.62US$17.34US$19.7215
Nov ’23US$16.64
US$19.16
+15.1%
8.4%US$22.02US$16.88US$17.6915

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

China Life Insurance

HK$796.1b

Operates as a life insurance company in the People’s Republic of China.

LFCH.Y

HK$6.21

7D

3.0%

1Y

-30.1%

Aviva

UK£12.9b

Provides various insurance, retirement, investment, and savings products in the United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, and internationally.

AVVI.Y

UK£12.34

7D

-0.6%

1Y

13.4%

Fairfax Financial Holdings

CA$43.0b

Through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance and reinsurance, and investment management services in the United States, Canada, Asia, and internationally.

FRFH.F

CA$1,413.06

7D

4.0%

1Y

54.9%