MetLife Valuation

Is MET undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MET when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MET ($68.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($113.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MET is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MET?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MET key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.2x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MET's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MET vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.7x
AFL Aflac
9.9x-7.6%US$46.3b
PRU Prudential Financial
15.7x13.9%US$38.7b
PFG Principal Financial Group
29.6x24.2%US$18.4b
UNM Unum Group
7.5x6.3%US$9.7b
MET MetLife
36.1x22.3%US$49.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MET is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.1x) compared to the peer average (15.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MET's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MET is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.1x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MET's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MET PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.1x
Fair PE Ratio21.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MET is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MET forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$68.92
US$82.31
+19.4%
10.8%US$104.00US$66.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$73.69
US$79.52
+7.9%
8.0%US$88.00US$66.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$69.73
US$79.52
+14.0%
8.0%US$88.00US$66.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$65.35
US$78.81
+20.6%
8.4%US$88.00US$63.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$66.13
US$77.21
+16.8%
7.9%US$86.00US$63.00n/a15
Dec ’24US$63.76
US$76.36
+19.8%
8.6%US$86.00US$63.00n/a15
Nov ’24US$59.98
US$76.74
+27.9%
8.6%US$85.00US$63.00n/a14
Oct ’24US$62.91
US$77.10
+22.6%
8.7%US$85.00US$63.00n/a14
Sep ’24US$64.30
US$76.10
+18.4%
10.9%US$85.00US$58.00n/a14
Aug ’24US$62.82
US$74.54
+18.7%
11.6%US$85.00US$58.00n/a14
Jul ’24US$56.53
US$73.86
+30.7%
10.7%US$85.00US$58.00n/a14
Jun ’24US$50.38
US$75.14
+49.2%
11.3%US$85.00US$60.00n/a14
May ’24US$61.26
US$75.94
+24.0%
10.0%US$85.00US$60.00n/a16
Apr ’24US$57.94
US$79.88
+37.9%
10.1%US$90.00US$60.00US$73.6916
Mar ’24US$71.27
US$81.94
+15.0%
7.2%US$90.00US$63.00US$69.7316
Feb ’24US$72.68
US$82.13
+13.0%
7.6%US$93.00US$63.00US$65.3516
Jan ’24US$72.37
US$80.73
+11.6%
6.8%US$87.00US$63.00US$66.1315
Dec ’23US$76.65
US$81.00
+5.7%
7.0%US$87.00US$63.00US$63.7615
Nov ’23US$73.94
US$76.81
+3.9%
5.9%US$83.00US$63.00US$59.9816
Oct ’23US$60.78
US$76.19
+25.3%
7.8%US$83.00US$56.00US$62.9116
Sep ’23US$64.84
US$76.06
+17.3%
7.9%US$83.00US$56.00US$64.3016
Aug ’23US$62.89
US$74.19
+18.0%
7.7%US$80.00US$56.00US$62.8216
Jul ’23US$63.68
US$76.31
+19.8%
8.3%US$85.00US$56.00US$56.5316
Jun ’23US$66.66
US$76.25
+14.4%
10.0%US$85.00US$56.00US$50.3816
May ’23US$65.68
US$75.93
+15.6%
9.0%US$82.00US$56.00US$61.2615
Apr ’23US$70.50
US$74.27
+5.3%
8.7%US$82.00US$56.00US$57.9415

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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