Principal Financial Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:PFG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$19.3b

Principal Financial Group Valuation

Is PFG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PFG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PFG ($84.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($175.52)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PFG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PFG?

Key metric: As PFG is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PFG. This is calculated by dividing PFG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PFG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.4x
SalesUS$14.07b
Market CapUS$19.25b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PFG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PFG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.6x
UNM Unum Group
1x4.2%US$13.2b
PRI Primerica
3.1x3.6%US$9.9b
PRU Prudential Financial
0.6x-4.3%US$44.4b
GL Globe Life
1.6x4.8%US$9.2b
PFG Principal Financial Group
1.4x7.7%US$19.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PFG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PFG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Insurance Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GOCO GoHealth
0.2x8.0%US$257.46m
CCG Cheche Group
0.2x5.6%US$66.33m
AAME Atlantic American
0.2xn/aUS$32.64m
CNFR Conifer Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$14.55m
PFG 1.4xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies22PS00.81.62.43.24+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PFG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the US Insurance industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PFG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PFG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.4x
Fair PS Ratio1.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PFG is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PFG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$84.15
US$89.92
+6.9%
6.4%US$99.00US$77.00n/a12
Nov ’25US$82.18
US$88.17
+7.3%
6.2%US$99.00US$77.00n/a12
Oct ’25US$85.14
US$84.85
-0.3%
9.3%US$99.00US$70.00n/a13
Sep ’25US$81.42
US$85.75
+5.3%
8.8%US$99.00US$70.00n/a12
Aug ’25US$79.46
US$85.92
+8.1%
8.8%US$99.00US$70.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$78.01
US$83.73
+7.3%
6.8%US$89.00US$68.00n/a11
Jun ’25US$82.04
US$83.36
+1.6%
7.4%US$89.00US$68.00n/a11
May ’25US$79.85
US$82.82
+3.7%
7.4%US$89.00US$68.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$86.01
US$82.45
-4.1%
6.8%US$88.00US$68.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$80.05
US$82.45
+3.0%
6.8%US$88.00US$68.00n/a11
Feb ’25US$77.73
US$78.92
+1.5%
8.1%US$88.00US$68.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$78.67
US$75.58
-3.9%
8.9%US$86.00US$62.00n/a12
Dec ’24US$74.53
US$74.77
+0.3%
8.8%US$86.00US$62.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$67.26
US$74.62
+10.9%
8.9%US$86.00US$62.00US$82.1813
Oct ’24US$72.07
US$77.31
+7.3%
9.7%US$87.00US$64.00US$85.1413
Sep ’24US$78.43
US$77.69
-0.9%
9.3%US$87.00US$64.00US$81.4213
Aug ’24US$79.09
US$77.69
-1.8%
9.3%US$87.00US$64.00US$79.4613
Jul ’24US$75.84
US$76.31
+0.6%
10.7%US$94.00US$64.00US$78.0113
Jun ’24US$66.98
US$76.23
+13.8%
11.4%US$94.00US$60.00US$82.0413
May ’24US$73.98
US$76.14
+2.9%
11.0%US$94.00US$60.00US$79.8514
Apr ’24US$74.32
US$79.15
+6.5%
12.9%US$94.00US$58.00US$86.0113
Mar ’24US$91.23
US$83.77
-8.2%
12.5%US$100.00US$65.00US$80.0513
Feb ’24US$92.08
US$82.46
-10.4%
12.3%US$100.00US$65.00US$77.7313
Jan ’24US$83.92
US$78.46
-6.5%
11.7%US$90.00US$61.00US$78.6713
Dec ’23US$90.92
US$78.46
-13.7%
11.7%US$90.00US$61.00US$74.5313
Nov ’23US$88.32
US$77.15
-12.6%
13.0%US$90.00US$61.00US$67.2613

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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