Principal Financial Group Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Principal Financial Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.3% and 7.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.7% in 3 years.
Key information
11.3%
Earnings growth rate
14.80%
EPS growth rate
| Insurance earnings growth | 2.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 7.4% |
| Future return on equity | 16.68% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 21 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 25
PFG: Sector Concerns Over Private Credit Exposure Will Restrain Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their consolidated price target range for Principal Financial Group into the low $100s, citing strong recent Q1 results, continued earnings momentum into 2026, and steady revenue contribution from international and retirement-related businesses. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Principal Financial Group has highlighted a mix of optimism around earnings momentum and a more measured tone on how that translates into future returns for shareholders.Narrative Update • May 03
PFG: Sector Valuation Pressure And Muted Ratings Will Restrain Future Upside
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Principal Financial Group by $4 to $87, reflecting updated price targets and research that point to higher modeled revenue growth, a slightly different profit margin outlook, and a similar future P/E assumption. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Principal Financial Group show a mix of support and caution, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings around a relatively tight range.
Narrative Update • Apr 19
PFG: Capital Returns And Balanced P/E Assumptions Will Shape Future Margin Resilience
Analysts trimmed the average price target for Principal Financial Group by about $1 to reflect slightly lower fair value estimates, even as they update their views on growth, profitability and P/E assumptions after a mix of recent target hikes and reductions across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Principal Financial Group reflects a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms updating ratings and price targets as they reassess fair value, P/E assumptions and how sectorwide pressures could affect insurance valuations.
Narrative Update • Apr 04
PFG: Capital Strength And Buybacks Will Support Higher Sector Pricing
Analysts have made modest upward adjustments to Principal Financial Group's price targets, with several moving into the $85 to $95 range. They cite updated views on revenue growth, profitability, and sector valuation for life and annuity insurers.Seeking Alpha • Apr 03
Principal Financial Group: Dying Or Thriving? This 3.7% Yield Needs A Closer Look
Summary Principal Financial Group is nearing Dividend Aristocrat status, boasting a 17-year dividend growth streak and robust fundamentals. PFG reported strong 2025 results: $1.81 trillion in assets under administration, 10% AUM growth, and 13% EPS growth in Q4. Shares trade at a forward P/E of 9.1, an 18% discount to fair value, with potential for a 25% total return by 2027. PFG's 3.7% yield, mid-30% payout ratio, and disciplined capital return reinforce its resilience, though market and operational risks remain. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Mar 20
PFG: Capital Strength And Cash Returns Will Support Future Margin Resilience
Analysts have inched their fair value estimate for Principal Financial Group higher, with the price target moving by about $1 to $95 as they factor in modestly lower assumed revenue growth, improved profit margin expectations, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple across recent research updates. Analyst Commentary Recent research activity around Principal Financial Group has centered on a cluster of price target updates and rating changes, giving you a clearer sense of how the Street is thinking about valuation, execution, and growth risk.Narrative Update • Mar 06
PFG: Rising Loss Costs And Pricing Pressures Will Cap Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price expectations for Principal Financial Group. Our fair value estimate has increased from $67.00 to $83.00 as they consider higher Street price targets in the $85 to $95 range and updated assumptions related to growth, margins, and valuation multiples.Narrative Update • Feb 20
PFG: Capital Strength And Cash Returns Will Balance Margin And Pricing Risks
Analysts lifted their average price target for Principal Financial Group by $1 to $93.91, citing updated assumptions around modestly higher revenue growth, a slightly higher discount rate, and a small adjustment to future P/E and profit margin expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Principal Financial Group reflects a mix of cautious optimism and ongoing concerns, with several firms fine tuning their price targets while largely maintaining neutral or underweight ratings.Analysis Article • Feb 13
Principal Financial Group (NASDAQ:PFG) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At $0.80
Principal Financial Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PFG ) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the...Narrative Update • Feb 06
PFG: Capital Strength And Cash Flow Will Balance Sector Pricing Risks
Analysts have modestly adjusted their outlook on Principal Financial Group, with recent Street price targets moving in a tight range around the mid to high US$80s as they weigh capital strength, cash flow, and life insurance earnings against concerns around pricing trends and loss costs in parts of the insurance sector. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of price targets for Principal Financial in the US$85 to US$92 range, with several bullish analysts nudging their expectations higher while keeping a generally cautious stance on the insurance sector.Narrative Update • Jan 23
PFG: Capital Strength And Cash Returns Will Support Steady Future Performance
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Principal Financial higher, with recent moves such as US$74 to US$85, US$88 to US$92, and US$83 to US$87, reflecting updated views on capital strength, earnings quality, and sector wide pricing and margin trends. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Principal Financial Group show a mix of cautious and constructive views, with several firms adjusting price targets while keeping a close eye on sector specific trends in life and property and casualty insurance.Narrative Update • Jan 09
PFG: Capital Strength And Calm Catastrophe Trends Will Support Future Upside
Narrative update on Principal Financial Group We have lifted our fair value estimate for Principal Financial Group to $106 from $103, reflecting analysts' higher price targets, slightly adjusted cash flow and discount rate assumptions, and updated views on margins and future P/E levels across the life and P&C insurance space. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Principal Financial Group has centered on modestly higher valuation ranges, cautious views on insurance pricing, and rebalanced expectations for the core business.Narrative Update • Dec 17
PFG: Strong Claims Experience Will Support Earnings Durability And Upside Potential
Analysts have nudged their price target on Principal Financial Group modestly higher, reflecting a roughly $2 increase in estimated fair value to about $103 as they factor in stronger life insurance earnings, resilient claims experience, and easing downside risks across the core business. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have become incrementally more constructive on Principal Financial Group in recent months, with a series of upward price target revisions and an upgrade in rating that collectively signal improving confidence in the company’s earnings trajectory and risk profile.Narrative Update • Dec 03
PFG: Normalizing Investment Income And Calmer Claims Will Support Steady Future Performance
Analysts modestly raised their price target on Principal Financial Group to a range of approximately $87 to $94 per share, reflecting updated insurance sector models, calmer than expected catastrophe activity, as well as improving visibility into earnings and downside risks. Analyst Commentary Analysts are broadly constructive on Principal Financial Group, but remain divided on how much upside is left after the recent rerating in the sector and the stock's multiple compression over the past year.Narrative Update • Nov 19
PFG: Eased Downside Risks And Normalizing Trends Will Support Measured Performance
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Principal Financial Group to approximately $89.08 per share, citing steady improvements in earnings visibility and favorable industry trends. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst updates for Principal Financial Group highlight a mix of optimism and lingering caution as price targets have inched higher.Narrative Update • Nov 05
PFG: Eased Downside Risks And Stable Sector Will Support Performance Going Forward
Principal Financial Group's analyst price target has increased modestly from $87.83 to $88.75. Analysts cite eased downside risks and stable sector performance as reasons for the upward revision.Analysis Article • Oct 30
Principal Financial Group, Inc. Just Missed EPS By 57%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Principal Financial Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PFG ), given that the...Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analyst Commentary Drives Modest Price Target Increases for Principal Financial Group Amid Stable Outlook
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Principal Financial Group by approximately $0.67. The new target reflects updated expectations for improved revenue growth, profit margins, and a stable macro environment supporting future earnings.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Retirement And Global Asset Management Expansion Will Secure Future Strength
Analysts have raised their price target for Principal Financial Group to approximately $87.17 from $86. This modest increase reflects improving variable investment income, strong distribution, and sustained fee tailwinds despite ongoing flow challenges.Analysis Article • Sep 19
Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Principal Financial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PFG)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x Principal Financial Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:PFG ) may be sending bullish...Seeking Alpha • Mar 05
Principal Financial: Capital Returns Appear Priced In
Summary Principal Financial Group's stock has surged 20%, outperforming the market, driven by better earnings and strong capital returns. Q4 earnings beat expectations, with a 16% increase, though private investment returns remain subdued due to high rates impacting real estate valuations. Investment Management and Benefits and Protection units show strong performance, with disciplined cost controls and solid underwriting results supporting margins. Capital returns are solid, with a $1.4-$1.7 billion target for 2025, but current stock valuation suggests limited upside, justifying a "hold" rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 15
Principal Financial Upgraded As Growth Indicators And 3% Yield Looks Positive
Summary Principal Financial gets upgraded to a buy, as it shows growth indicators that could drive its insurance premiums and fees revenue, along with positive EPS guidance. Its 3% dividend yield is competitive among its peer group. With strong credit ratings from major agencies, and a low debt-to-equity, the firm has a lower risk profile. The huge and growing annuities market presents a lot of potential. Key risks include competition from sector peers like Prudential, as well as the risk of cyberattacks on financial firms targeting client data. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 13
Principal Financial: Capital Pressures Now Reflected In Valuation (Upgrade)
Summary Principal Financial Group has underperformed in the past year as asset management performance has weakened, with disappointing Q2 results leading to a drop in stock price. Despite some positive earnings growth in certain units, the asset management sector is facing pressure from passive investing trends and weaker returns. Management has lowered its capital target and otherwise would struggle to meet capital return targets. Even assuming lower capital returns, based on business growth needs, PFG has an over 8% capital return yield, leaving shares around fair value. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 09
Principal Financial: Asset Management Headwinds Make Shares Less Attractive (Rating Downgrade)
Summary Principal Financial Group's shares have gained 16% but lagged behind the S&P 500 due to net outflows in its asset management business. The company's recent financials showed positive improvements in its retirement and income solutions unit, but concerns remain about its asset manager's performance. PFG's exposure to commercial real estate and weak valuations in its real estate funds pose downside risks to earnings. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 19,259 | 2,307 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 17,575 | 2,145 | 1,700 | N/A | 2 |
| 12/31/2026 | 16,365 | 2,005 | 1,600 | N/A | 2 |
| 3/31/2026 | 15,459 | 1,562 | 3,631 | 3,747 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 15,626 | 1,185 | 4,439 | 4,537 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 15,801 | 1,574 | 4,172 | 4,252 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 15,131 | 1,140 | 4,303 | 4,376 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 15,770 | 1,087 | 4,928 | 4,996 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 16,128 | 1,571 | 4,534 | 4,603 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 14,067 | -206 | 4,008 | 4,088 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 15,654 | 1,260 | 3,926 | 4,011 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 14,900 | 1,296 | 3,594 | 3,681 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 13,666 | 623 | 3,690 | 3,792 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 14,126 | 1,479 | 3,908 | 4,012 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 14,152 | 1,548 | 4,015 | 4,132 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 17,260 | 4,278 | 3,714 | 3,837 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 17,536 | 4,757 | 3,057 | 3,173 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 18,476 | 5,245 | 3,050 | 3,157 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 17,275 | 4,289 | 2,824 | 2,960 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 14,150 | 1,534 | 3,013 | 3,145 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 14,428 | 1,580 | 3,125 | 3,254 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 13,937 | 1,711 | 2,600 | 2,735 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 13,824 | 1,588 | 2,718 | 2,826 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 13,399 | 1,622 | 2,177 | 2,290 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 14,742 | 1,396 | 3,601 | 3,709 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 15,024 | 1,224 | 4,022 | 4,139 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 16,172 | 1,265 | 4,748 | 4,861 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 17,030 | 1,253 | 5,785 | 5,906 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 16,222 | 1,394 | N/A | 5,493 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 15,946 | 1,330 | N/A | 5,907 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 15,835 | 1,509 | N/A | 6,197 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 15,098 | 1,579 | N/A | 5,586 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 14,237 | 1,547 | N/A | 5,157 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 13,704 | 2,152 | N/A | 4,273 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 13,984 | 2,506 | N/A | 3,997 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 13,927 | 2,359 | N/A | 4,412 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 14,093 | 2,310 | N/A | 4,188 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 14,369 | 1,787 | N/A | 4,559 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 12,560 | 1,285 | N/A | 3,561 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 12,407 | 1,297 | N/A | 3,485 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 12,394 | 1,317 | N/A | 3,858 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 11,687 | 1,252 | N/A | 3,981 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 12,110 | 1,244 | N/A | 4,385 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 12,344 | 1,163 | N/A | 4,642 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 11,964 | 1,209 | N/A | 4,377 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 12,065 | 1,226 | N/A | 4,228 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 11,309 | 1,156 | N/A | 3,843 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: PFG's forecast earnings growth (11.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: PFG's earnings (11.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16.8% per year).
High Growth Earnings: PFG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: PFG's revenue (7.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: PFG's revenue (7.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: PFG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.7%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/26 15:12 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/22 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Principal Financial Group, Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| null null | Argus Research Company |
| Jay Gelb | Barclays |
| Taylor Scott | Barclays |