Lemonade, Inc. (NYSE:LMND) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 67% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in the United States' Insurance industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, you may consider Lemonade as a stock not worth researching with its 8.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for Lemonade
How Has Lemonade Performed Recently?
Lemonade certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lemonade.How Is Lemonade's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Lemonade's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 34% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 215% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 43% per year over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 4.7% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Lemonade's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Lemonade's P/S?
Shares in Lemonade have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Lemonade maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Insurance industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Lemonade that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:LMND
Lemonade
Provides various insurance products in the United States, Europe, and the United Kingdom.
High growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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