Stock Analysis

Herbalife Nutrition (NYSE:HLF) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

NYSE:HLF
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To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. So when we looked at Herbalife Nutrition (NYSE:HLF), they do have a high ROCE, but we weren't exactly elated from how returns are trending.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Herbalife Nutrition:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.31 = US$545m ÷ (US$2.7b - US$977m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

So, Herbalife Nutrition has an ROCE of 31%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Personal Products industry average of 16%.

See our latest analysis for Herbalife Nutrition

roce
NYSE:HLF Return on Capital Employed March 20th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Herbalife Nutrition compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

What Can We Tell From Herbalife Nutrition's ROCE Trend?

Over the past five years, Herbalife Nutrition's ROCE and capital employed have both remained mostly flat. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. So it may not be a multi-bagger in the making, but given the decent 31% return on capital, it'd be difficult to find fault with the business's current operations.

Our Take On Herbalife Nutrition's ROCE

In summary, Herbalife Nutrition isn't compounding its earnings but is generating decent returns on the same amount of capital employed. And in the last five years, the stock has given away 65% so the market doesn't look too hopeful on these trends strengthening any time soon. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

Like most companies, Herbalife Nutrition does come with some risks, and we've found 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.

High returns are a key ingredient to strong performance, so check out our free list ofstocks earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Herbalife might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.