Stock Analysis

e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE:ELF) Soars 46% Over the Last Month

NYSE:ELF
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e.l.f. Beauty (NYSE:ELF) recently experienced a significant 45.9% surge in its share price over the last month. This impressive move significantly outpaced the broader market, which rose 3.9% over the past week and 12% throughout the year. While specific recent events for e.l.f. Beauty remain undisclosed, any developments during the last month would either add weight to this upward trajectory or counterbalance it if of opposite nature. With the market expecting an annual earnings growth of 14% in coming years, the company's strong performance may align with broader trends, reflecting investor optimism in the beauty and personal care sector.

e.l.f. Beauty has 2 risks we think you should know about.

NYSE:ELF Earnings Per Share Growth as at May 2025
NYSE:ELF Earnings Per Share Growth as at May 2025

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The recent sharp upswing in e.l.f. Beauty’s share price potentially signals enhanced investor confidence, aligning well with broader positive sentiment within the beauty sector. Moreover, the company's focus on digital channels and international expansion could further bolster its market position, potentially influencing revenue and earnings forecasts positively. However, the specifics of what triggered the 45.9% increase remain undisclosed, leaving open the question of how lasting this rise may be. Investors should still weigh the company's strategies against its execution capabilities in overcoming industry challenges like consumer consumption slowdowns or foreign currency impacts.

Over the past five years, e.l.f. Beauty has achieved a remarkable total shareholder return of 461.45%. This impressive performance significantly exceeds the recent one-year industry performance, where e.l.f. Beauty saw a 24% decline in earnings compared to a generally declining trend of 8.4% in the broader Personal Products industry. The company's robust long-term returns underscore its potential resilience and growth capabilities, despite short-term market fluctuations.

As for the share price compared to analyst expectations, the current price of US$67.69 remains below the consensus price target of US$81.28, suggesting potential upside if forecasted earnings and revenue growth materialize. Although there is a share price discount of about 3.92% to the target, such growth potential hinges largely on successful execution of their outlined initiatives and market conditions. Thus, while the stock's recent performance is promising, ongoing assessment of e.l.f. Beauty's adaptation to market demands and strategic objectives is crucial to understanding future prospects.

Click to explore a detailed breakdown of our findings in e.l.f. Beauty's financial health report.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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