Stock Analysis

Are Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.'s (NASDAQ:REYN) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

NasdaqGS:REYN
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Reynolds Consumer Products' (NASDAQ:REYN) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.3% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Reynolds Consumer Products' ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Reynolds Consumer Products

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Reynolds Consumer Products is:

18% = US$368m ÷ US$2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.18 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Reynolds Consumer Products' Earnings Growth And 18% ROE

To start with, Reynolds Consumer Products' ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 19% the company's ROE looks quite decent. Despite this, Reynolds Consumer Products' five year net income growth was quite flat over the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that's limiting the company's growth. For example, it could be that the company has a high payout ratio or the business has allocated capital poorly, for instance.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Reynolds Consumer Products' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 3.5% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:REYN Past Earnings Growth January 20th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Reynolds Consumer Products''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Reynolds Consumer Products Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 65% (implying that the company keeps only 35% of its income) of its business to reinvest into its business), most of Reynolds Consumer Products' profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the absence of growth in earnings.

Moreover, Reynolds Consumer Products has been paying dividends for five years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 53% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Reynolds Consumer Products' future ROE will be 16% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Reynolds Consumer Products certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a high ROE, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This can be blamed on the fact that it reinvests only a small portion of its profits and pays out the rest as dividends. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.