Stock Analysis

What Hologic (HOLX)'s Wave of Upward Earnings Estimate Revisions Means for Shareholders

  • Recently, Hologic received a wave of positive analyst sentiment as six analysts revised their earnings estimates higher, reflecting increased confidence in the company’s operating outlook.
  • This analyst momentum is underpinned by Hologic’s strong Value and VGM scores, which highlight its potential within the women’s health diagnostics and medical imaging sector.
  • We'll assess how a series of upward earnings estimate revisions could influence Hologic's longer-term investment narrative and analyst outlook.

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Hologic Investment Narrative Recap

To invest in Hologic, you have to believe in sustained demand for women’s health diagnostics and medical imaging, supported by innovation and recurring revenue, even as the business faces ongoing headwinds in key international markets and pressure on margins. The latest analyst upgrades reflect growing confidence, but they do not yet materially shift the biggest near-term catalyst, which is the adoption and success of Hologic’s next-generation products, or the most significant risk, ongoing revenue weakness from China and international diagnostics. One relevant announcement is Hologic’s recent clinical data for the Breast Cancer Index (BCI) test, showing strong influence on treatment decisions. This links directly to Hologic’s core strategy of driving growth through product innovation and higher-margin diagnostics. While this can underpin analyst optimism, it does not fully offset current pressures from external markets or elevated cost structures. However, with international headwinds still present, investors should pay close attention to...

Read the full narrative on Hologic (it's free!)

Hologic's narrative projects $4.7 billion in revenue and $992.5 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 5.0% yearly revenue growth and a $435.4 million earnings increase from $557.1 million today.

Uncover how Hologic's forecasts yield a $73.40 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

HOLX Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
HOLX Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Fair value estimates for Hologic from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$73.40 to US$106.39, based on two individual analyses. The ongoing risk from significant revenue declines in China could remain a key factor for future performance, making it important to consider several viewpoints before making decisions.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Hologic - why the stock might be worth just $73.40!

Build Your Own Hologic Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NasdaqGS:HOLX

Hologic

Engages in the development, manufacture, and supply of diagnostics products, medical imaging systems, and surgical products for women's health through early detection and treatment worldwide.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.

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