Hologic Valuation

Is HOLX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HOLX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HOLX ($75.71) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($93.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HOLX is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HOLX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HOLX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.8x
PEG Ratio2.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HOLX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HOLX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.2x
ZBH Zimmer Biomet Holdings
24x8.5%US$24.9b
STE STERIS
35.1x13.2%US$19.9b
TFX Teleflex
27.2x14.9%US$9.7b
RMD ResMed
30.3x13.5%US$26.9b
HOLX Hologic
34.5x13.0%US$17.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HOLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x) compared to the peer average (29.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HOLX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Medical Equipment Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HOLX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x) compared to the US Medical Equipment industry average (36.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HOLX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HOLX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio34.5x
Fair PE Ratio29.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HOLX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HOLX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$75.71
US$84.27
+11.3%
7.6%US$95.00US$70.00n/a15
Apr ’25US$76.12
US$82.67
+8.6%
7.6%US$95.00US$70.00n/a15
Mar ’25US$73.65
US$82.67
+12.3%
7.6%US$95.00US$70.00n/a15
Feb ’25US$74.41
US$81.39
+9.4%
7.5%US$95.00US$70.00n/a15
Jan ’25US$71.45
US$80.08
+12.1%
8.1%US$95.00US$70.00n/a16
Dec ’24US$71.15
US$79.83
+12.2%
8.5%US$95.00US$70.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$66.69
US$83.28
+24.9%
9.1%US$95.00US$70.00n/a15
Oct ’24US$69.40
US$88.33
+27.3%
8.1%US$95.00US$70.00n/a15
Sep ’24US$75.12
US$88.33
+17.6%
8.1%US$95.00US$70.00n/a15
Aug ’24US$76.61
US$88.80
+15.9%
8.1%US$98.00US$70.00n/a15
Jul ’24US$80.97
US$91.04
+12.4%
8.9%US$105.00US$70.00n/a14
Jun ’24US$79.15
US$91.04
+15.0%
8.9%US$105.00US$70.00n/a14
May ’24US$87.67
US$87.61
-0.07%
7.9%US$95.00US$70.00n/a14
Apr ’24US$80.70
US$86.04
+6.6%
8.5%US$95.00US$70.00US$76.1214
Mar ’24US$79.06
US$86.64
+9.6%
8.9%US$95.00US$70.00US$73.6514
Feb ’24US$82.78
US$82.36
-0.5%
8.6%US$91.00US$70.00US$74.4114
Jan ’24US$74.81
US$77.71
+3.9%
7.4%US$90.00US$70.00US$71.4514
Dec ’23US$76.99
US$77.25
+0.3%
7.3%US$90.00US$70.00US$71.1512
Nov ’23US$74.13
US$77.25
+4.2%
7.3%US$90.00US$70.00US$66.6912
Oct ’23US$64.52
US$77.18
+19.6%
9.9%US$90.00US$64.00US$69.4011
Sep ’23US$68.42
US$77.18
+12.8%
9.9%US$90.00US$64.00US$75.1211
Aug ’23US$70.95
US$77.18
+8.8%
9.9%US$90.00US$64.00US$76.6111
Jul ’23US$70.14
US$78.91
+12.5%
8.6%US$90.00US$70.00US$80.9711
Jun ’23US$74.65
US$78.91
+5.7%
8.6%US$90.00US$70.00US$79.1511
May ’23US$71.99
US$78.64
+9.2%
8.3%US$90.00US$70.00US$87.6711
Apr ’23US$76.93
US$83.18
+8.1%
8.2%US$95.00US$70.00US$80.7011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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