Stock Analysis

Is Weakness In Astrana Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:ASTH) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

NasdaqCM:ASTH
Source: Shutterstock

It is hard to get excited after looking at Astrana Health's (NASDAQ:ASTH) recent performance, when its stock has declined 34% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on Astrana Health's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Astrana Health

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Astrana Health is:

11% = US$58m ÷ US$507m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.11.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Astrana Health's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

At first glance, Astrana Health seems to have a decent ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks quite decent. This probably goes some way in explaining Astrana Health's moderate 19% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

We then compared Astrana Health's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 5.7% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqCM:ASTH Past Earnings Growth January 27th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Astrana Health's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Astrana Health Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Astrana Health doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which explains the fair bit of earnings growth the company has seen.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Astrana Health's performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:ASTH

Astrana Health

Astrana Health, Inc., Inc., a physician-centric technology-powered healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States.

Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.

Community Narratives

Cosmo Pharmaceuticals Announces Strong Full Year 2024 Revenue and Cash and Provides Business and Pipeline Updates
Fair Value CHF 264.53|75.35300000000001% undervalued
kapirey
kapirey
Community Contributor
Top Pick for Multi-bagger
Fair Value US$44.06|47.367% undervalued
SuEric
SuEric
Community Contributor
Nova Ljubljanska Banka d.d will expect a 11.2% revenue boost driving future growth
Fair Value €148.18|9.232% undervalued
AurediusCapital
AurediusCapital
Community Contributor