When you see that almost half of the companies in the Food industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, Oatly Group AB (NASDAQ:OTLY) looks to be giving off some sell signals with its 2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Oatly Group
How Oatly Group Has Been Performing
There hasn't been much to differentiate Oatly Group's and the industry's revenue growth lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying to much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Oatly Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Oatly Group?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Oatly Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 254% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 22% per annum during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 3.3% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Oatly Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Oatly Group's P/S?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Oatly Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Oatly Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:OTLY
Oatly Group
An oatmilk company, provides a range of plant-based dairy products made from oats in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and Asia.
Undervalued low.