Paladin Energy Ltd

OTCPK:PALA.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.6b

Paladin Energy Valuation

Is PALA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PALA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PALA.F ($5.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($44.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PALA.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PALA.F?

Key metric: As PALA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PALA.F. This is calculated by dividing PALA.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PALA.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.6x
EarningsUS$53.63m
Market CapUS$1.59b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PALA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PALA.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.9x
NRP Natural Resource Partners
8.3xn/aUS$1.4b
LEU Centrus Energy
17.8x-22.8%US$1.3b
BTU Peabody Energy
5.5x-7.7%US$2.9b
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners
8x-7.2%US$3.6b
PALA.F Paladin Energy
29.6x30.1%US$2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PALA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the peer average (9.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PALA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
PALA.F 29.6xIndustry Avg. 11.5xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PALA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PALA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PALA.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.6x
Fair PE Ratio16.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PALA.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PALA.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.26
US$8.34
+58.5%
16.0%US$10.26US$6.34n/a8
Nov ’25US$6.59
US$9.37
+42.2%
11.5%US$10.74US$7.33n/a8
Oct ’25US$8.35
US$9.91
+18.6%
14.3%US$11.51US$7.33n/a9
Sep ’25US$6.70
US$10.47
+56.3%
9.0%US$11.37US$8.23n/a8
Aug ’25US$7.10
US$10.53
+48.4%
8.7%US$11.28US$8.23n/a8
Jul ’25US$8.35
US$10.62
+27.1%
8.9%US$11.29US$8.23n/a8
Jun ’25US$10.66
US$10.70
+0.5%
10.5%US$12.15US$8.23n/a9
May ’25US$9.40
US$10.54
+12.2%
9.5%US$11.72US$8.23n/a9
Apr ’25US$9.30
US$9.52
+2.4%
8.0%US$10.54US$8.23n/a8
Mar ’25US$8.00
US$9.70
+21.2%
6.6%US$10.54US$8.56n/a7
Feb ’25US$8.75
US$9.55
+9.1%
6.1%US$10.54US$8.56n/a7
Jan ’25US$6.60
US$7.93
+20.2%
11.5%US$9.42US$6.87n/a7
Dec ’24US$6.75
US$7.63
+13.0%
11.9%US$8.85US$6.01n/a7
Nov ’24US$6.50
US$7.60
+16.9%
12.3%US$8.85US$6.01US$6.597
Oct ’24US$6.90
US$7.42
+7.5%
19.8%US$8.97US$4.23US$8.357
Sep ’24US$5.64
US$6.50
+15.2%
16.6%US$7.43US$4.23US$6.707
Aug ’24US$4.96
US$6.68
+34.8%
18.1%US$7.80US$4.23US$7.107
Jul ’24US$4.76
US$6.70
+40.9%
18.6%US$7.69US$4.23US$8.356
Jun ’24US$4.28
US$6.65
+55.4%
21.1%US$8.78US$4.23US$10.666
May ’24US$4.10
US$6.68
+62.8%
20.8%US$8.78US$4.23US$9.406
Apr ’24US$4.30
US$6.66
+54.8%
20.5%US$8.59US$4.23US$9.306
Mar ’24US$4.85
US$7.00
+44.2%
17.8%US$8.79US$5.05US$8.005
Feb ’24US$6.02
US$7.22
+19.9%
17.9%US$8.96US$5.05US$8.755
Jan ’24US$4.55
US$6.90
+51.9%
14.9%US$8.16US$5.05US$6.605
Dec ’23US$5.39
US$6.95
+28.9%
14.8%US$8.16US$5.05US$6.755
Nov ’23US$5.37
US$6.95
+29.4%
14.8%US$8.16US$5.05US$6.505

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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