We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Centrus Energy Valuation

Is LEU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LEU?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LEU key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.9x
PEG Ratio-0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LEU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LEU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.7x
NRP Natural Resource Partners
2.9xn/aUS$662.7m
NC NACCO Industries
4.2xn/aUS$270.9m
CEIX CONSOL Energy
5.2x30.9%US$2.0b
ARCH Arch Resources
2.5x-38.8%US$2.7b
LEU Centrus Energy
5.1x-11.9%US$597.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LEU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (3.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LEU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-11.3%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LEU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (7x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LEU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LEU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.1x
Fair PE Ratio3.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LEU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.4x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LEU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LEU ($41.05) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($106.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LEU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LEU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$41.05
US$60.50
+47.4%
25.6%US$76.00US$45.00n/a2
Jan ’24US$32.48
US$60.50
+86.3%
25.6%US$76.00US$45.00n/a2
Dec ’23US$37.32
US$57.50
+54.1%
21.7%US$70.00US$45.00n/a2
Nov ’23US$46.84
US$59.00
+26.0%
18.6%US$70.00US$48.00n/a2
Oct ’23US$40.98
US$59.00
+44.0%
18.6%US$70.00US$48.00n/a2
Sep ’23US$46.09
US$59.00
+28.0%
18.6%US$70.00US$48.00n/a2
Aug ’23US$32.51
US$57.50
+76.9%
21.7%US$70.00US$45.00n/a2
Jul ’23US$26.73
US$57.50
+115.1%
21.7%US$70.00US$45.00n/a2
Jun ’23US$24.45
US$57.50
+135.2%
21.7%US$70.00US$45.00n/a2
May ’23US$27.76
US$60.00
+116.1%
16.7%US$70.00US$50.00n/a2
Apr ’23US$32.79
US$60.00
+83.0%
16.7%US$70.00US$50.00n/a2
Mar ’23US$43.04
US$74.00
+71.9%
21.6%US$90.00US$58.00n/a2
Feb ’23US$43.26
US$74.00
+71.1%
21.6%US$90.00US$58.00US$41.052
Jan ’23US$49.91
US$74.00
+48.3%
21.6%US$90.00US$58.00US$32.482
Dec ’22US$53.80
US$73.50
+36.6%
22.4%US$90.00US$57.00US$37.322
Nov ’22US$60.55
US$31.00
-48.8%
12.9%US$35.00US$27.00US$46.842
Oct ’22US$41.33
US$31.00
-25.0%
12.9%US$35.00US$27.00US$40.982
Sep ’22US$29.45
US$31.00
+5.3%
12.9%US$35.00US$27.00US$46.092
Aug ’22US$23.19
US$31.50
+35.8%
11.1%US$35.00US$28.00US$32.512
Jul ’22US$25.93
US$31.50
+21.5%
11.1%US$35.00US$28.00US$26.732
Jun ’22US$22.73
US$31.50
+38.6%
11.1%US$35.00US$28.00US$24.452
May ’22US$22.89
US$33.50
+46.4%
4.5%US$35.00US$32.00US$27.762
Apr ’22US$24.03
US$33.50
+39.4%
4.5%US$35.00US$32.00US$32.792
Mar ’22US$24.15
US$22.50
-6.8%
20.0%US$27.00US$18.00US$43.042
Feb ’22US$22.05
US$22.50
+2.0%
20.0%US$27.00US$18.00US$43.262

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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