Peabody Energy Corporation

NYSE:BTU Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.5b

Peabody Energy Valuation

Is BTU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BTU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BTU ($20.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($55.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BTU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BTU?

Key metric: As BTU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BTU. This is calculated by dividing BTU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BTU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.7x
EarningsUS$535.90m
Market CapUS$2.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BTU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BTU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.3x
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners
7.3x1.4%US$3.3b
CEIX CONSOL Energy
7.4x-1.0%US$3.0b
NRP Natural Resource Partners
7.9xn/aUS$1.4b
LEU Centrus Energy
14.4x-22.8%US$1.1b
BTU Peabody Energy
4.7x-7.8%US$2.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BTU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the peer average (9.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BTU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
BTU 4.7xIndustry Avg. 10.9xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BTU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (10.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BTU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BTU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.7x
Fair PE Ratio8.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BTU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BTU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$20.63
US$29.40
+42.5%
7.9%US$33.00US$26.00n/a5
Dec ’25US$23.85
US$29.40
+23.3%
7.9%US$33.00US$26.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$26.48
US$29.40
+11.0%
7.9%US$33.00US$26.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$26.32
US$28.40
+7.9%
10.6%US$34.00US$25.00n/a5
Sep ’25US$23.41
US$27.80
+18.8%
9.2%US$32.00US$24.00n/a5
Aug ’25US$22.61
US$27.80
+23.0%
8.0%US$31.00US$24.00n/a5
Jul ’25US$23.77
US$27.60
+16.1%
8.1%US$31.00US$24.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$24.78
US$27.60
+11.4%
8.1%US$31.00US$24.00n/a5
May ’25US$21.44
US$28.40
+32.5%
7.9%US$32.00US$25.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$24.16
US$29.00
+20.0%
9.3%US$34.00US$26.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$25.03
US$28.80
+15.1%
10.2%US$34.00US$25.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$27.07
US$28.60
+5.7%
8.2%US$32.00US$25.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$24.32
US$28.60
+17.6%
8.2%US$32.00US$25.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$24.59
US$28.60
+16.3%
8.2%US$32.00US$25.00US$23.855
Nov ’24US$23.33
US$28.60
+22.6%
8.2%US$32.00US$25.00US$26.485
Oct ’24US$25.99
US$28.00
+7.7%
8.1%US$32.00US$25.00US$26.325
Sep ’24US$22.34
US$26.00
+16.4%
6.4%US$28.00US$24.00US$23.415
Aug ’24US$22.27
US$26.00
+16.7%
6.4%US$28.00US$24.00US$22.615
Jul ’24US$21.66
US$26.60
+22.8%
9.1%US$30.00US$23.00US$23.775
Jun ’24US$18.31
US$30.60
+67.1%
5.7%US$34.00US$29.00US$24.785
May ’24US$23.63
US$29.75
+25.9%
1.5%US$30.00US$29.00US$21.444
Apr ’24US$25.60
US$33.75
+31.8%
9.7%US$39.00US$30.00US$24.164
Mar ’24US$27.86
US$34.00
+22.0%
8.8%US$39.00US$31.00US$25.034
Feb ’24US$27.68
US$34.25
+23.7%
10.0%US$39.00US$31.00US$27.074
Jan ’24US$26.42
US$33.75
+27.7%
8.2%US$37.00US$31.00US$24.324
Dec ’23US$31.29
US$33.75
+7.9%
8.2%US$37.00US$31.00US$24.594

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:47
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Peabody Energy Corporation is covered by 38 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nathan JudgeAtlantic Equities LLP
David GaglianoBarclays
Nathan MartinBenchmark Company