PBF Energy Inc.

NYSE:PBF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.3b

PBF Energy Valuation

Is PBF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PBF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: PBF ($78.3) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($218.72)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: PBF is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PBF?

Key metric: As PBF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PBF. This is calculated by dividing PBF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PBF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.9x
EarningsUS$1.35b
Market CapUS$9.35b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PBF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PBF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30x
CVI CVR Energy
72.4x69.73%US$5.0b
SUN Sunoco
17.1x25.56%US$10.6b
DINO HF Sinclair
10.1x-23.08%US$19.2b
DK Delek US Holdings
20.6x-19.51%US$4.7b
PBF PBF Energy
6.9x-14.28%US$9.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the peer average (30x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PBF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HEOL Highwater Ethanol
1.8xn/aUS$71.78m
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
MVO MV Oil Trust
0.7xn/aUS$6.85m
TOPS Top Ships
1.3xn/aUS$3.99m
PBF 6.9xIndustry Avg. 13.0xNo. of Companies19PE0816243240+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (13x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PBF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PBF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.9x
Fair PE Ratio9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PBF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$78.30
US$69.62
-11.09%
17.88%US$84.00US$38.00n/a13
Sep ’27US$74.99
US$67.62
-9.83%
20.63%US$84.00US$38.00n/a13
Aug ’27US$72.28
US$60.54
-16.24%
17.74%US$75.00US$38.00n/a13
Jul ’27US$48.04
US$45.27
-5.76%
17.52%US$62.00US$30.00n/a11
Jun ’27US$41.83
US$43.75
+4.59%
19.93%US$62.00US$30.00n/a12
May ’27US$43.00
US$43.08
+0.19%
19.59%US$62.00US$30.00n/a12
Apr ’27US$46.09
US$40.92
-11.21%
21.78%US$62.00US$27.00n/a13
Mar ’27US$35.60
US$32.77
-7.95%
18.08%US$42.00US$22.00n/a13
Feb ’27US$33.46
US$31.92
-4.59%
19.01%US$42.00US$22.00n/a13
Jan ’27US$27.12
US$29.77
+9.77%
17.78%US$42.00US$23.00n/a13
Dec ’26US$34.70
US$30.58
-11.86%
16.59%US$42.00US$25.00n/a12
Nov ’26US$34.17
US$28.25
-17.33%
13.57%US$37.00US$21.00n/a12
Oct ’26US$29.95
US$25.42
-15.14%
17.99%US$37.00US$19.00n/a12
Sep ’26US$27.32
US$22.33
-18.25%
13.84%US$28.00US$16.00US$74.9912
Aug ’26US$21.68
US$21.83
+0.71%
13.59%US$26.00US$16.00US$72.2812
Jul ’26US$22.27
US$18.92
-15.03%
19.05%US$26.00US$12.00US$48.0413
Jun ’26US$19.05
US$18.54
-2.69%
19.58%US$26.00US$12.00US$41.8313
May ’26US$16.66
US$19.23
+15.43%
22.36%US$29.00US$12.00US$43.0013
Apr ’26US$19.26
US$23.23
+20.62%
15.94%US$29.00US$17.00US$46.0913
Mar ’26US$21.43
US$26.31
+22.76%
13.86%US$31.00US$19.00US$35.6013
Feb ’26US$29.26
US$29.08
-0.63%
16.21%US$35.00US$20.00US$33.4613
Jan ’26US$26.55
US$30.23
+13.86%
16.21%US$37.00US$20.00US$27.1213
Dec ’25US$31.49
US$32.00
+1.62%
15.65%US$39.00US$25.00US$34.7013
Nov ’25US$28.08
US$32.69
+16.43%
16.34%US$40.00US$25.00US$34.1713
Oct ’25US$31.36
US$39.92
+27.29%
22.56%US$53.00US$25.00US$29.9512
Sep ’25US$34.06
US$45.42
+33.34%
11.03%US$53.00US$35.00US$27.3212
US$69.62
Fair Value
12.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/14 16:46
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

PBF Energy Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yim ChengBarclays
Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Jean Ann SalisburyBofA Global Research