CVR Energy, Inc.

NYSE:CVI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.9b

CVR Energy Valuation

Is CVI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CVI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CVI ($18.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($33.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CVI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CVI?

Key metric: As CVI is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CVI. This is calculated by dividing CVI's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CVI's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.2x
EarningsUS$69.00m
Market CapUS$1.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CVI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CVI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.4x
WKC World Kinect
12.1x-0.7%US$1.6b
REX REX American Resources
11.4x2.9%US$772.1m
PARR Par Pacific Holdings
3.1x-5.7%US$955.1m
SUN Sunoco
14.9x20.7%US$7.3b
CVI CVR Energy
27.2x26.2%US$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CVI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the peer average (10.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CVI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
CVI 27.2xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CVI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CVI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CVI PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.2x
Fair PE Ratio14.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CVI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CVI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$18.70
US$19.92
+6.5%
12.5%US$24.00US$16.00n/a6
Nov ’25US$15.97
US$22.33
+39.8%
14.3%US$26.00US$16.00n/a6
Oct ’25US$23.50
US$24.17
+2.8%
10.0%US$26.00US$19.00n/a6
Sep ’25US$25.42
US$26.50
+4.2%
6.4%US$30.00US$25.00n/a6
Aug ’25US$27.54
US$27.13
-1.5%
11.2%US$33.75US$25.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$26.35
US$29.15
+10.6%
9.8%US$33.75US$25.00n/a5
Jun ’25US$27.86
US$30.15
+8.2%
7.4%US$33.75US$27.00n/a5
May ’25US$29.37
US$32.20
+9.6%
8.2%US$37.00US$29.00n/a5
Apr ’25US$36.72
US$31.40
-14.5%
12.2%US$37.00US$25.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$32.77
US$31.20
-4.8%
12.4%US$37.00US$25.00n/a5
Feb ’25US$33.80
US$30.80
-8.9%
12.6%US$37.00US$25.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$30.30
US$31.60
+4.3%
9.9%US$37.00US$28.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$32.31
US$31.40
-2.8%
9.8%US$37.00US$28.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$33.53
US$31.60
-5.8%
9.5%US$37.00US$28.00US$15.975
Oct ’24US$34.03
US$32.20
-5.4%
9.1%US$37.00US$28.00US$23.505
Sep ’24US$34.78
US$31.60
-9.1%
6.5%US$34.00US$28.00US$25.425
Aug ’24US$36.12
US$30.00
-16.9%
7.6%US$34.00US$28.00US$27.545
Jul ’24US$29.96
US$29.40
-1.9%
10.2%US$34.00US$25.00US$26.355
Jun ’24US$23.69
US$30.60
+29.2%
11.8%US$36.00US$25.00US$27.865
May ’24US$26.72
US$32.40
+21.3%
5.7%US$36.00US$31.00US$29.375
Apr ’24US$32.78
US$33.00
+0.7%
6.4%US$36.00US$31.00US$36.725
Mar ’24US$33.45
US$32.75
-2.1%
4.5%US$35.00US$31.00US$32.774
Feb ’24US$32.59
US$32.75
+0.5%
9.5%US$38.00US$30.00US$33.804
Jan ’24US$31.34
US$32.50
+3.7%
10.3%US$38.00US$29.00US$30.304
Dec ’23US$37.14
US$33.25
-10.5%
9.4%US$38.00US$30.00US$32.314
Nov ’23US$38.00
US$33.13
-12.8%
9.3%US$38.00US$29.50US$33.534

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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