Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.

NYSE:PARR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$955.1m

Par Pacific Holdings Valuation

Is PARR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PARR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PARR ($17.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($96.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PARR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PARR?

Key metric: As PARR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PARR. This is calculated by dividing PARR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PARR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.1x
EarningsUS$311.70m
Market CapUS$955.10m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PARR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PARR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18x
OPAL OPAL Fuels
21.4x32.2%US$634.3m
REX REX American Resources
11.4x2.9%US$772.1m
WKC World Kinect
12.1x-0.7%US$1.6b
CVI CVR Energy
27.2x26.2%US$1.9b
PARR Par Pacific Holdings
3.1x-5.7%US$955.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PARR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (18x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PARR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
PARR 3.1xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PARR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PARR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PARR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.1x
Fair PE Ratio7.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PARR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PARR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$17.20
US$23.57
+37.0%
15.5%US$30.00US$19.00n/a7
Nov ’25US$15.61
US$23.57
+51.0%
15.5%US$30.00US$19.00n/a7
Oct ’25US$17.53
US$26.57
+51.6%
19.7%US$36.00US$21.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$22.44
US$32.29
+43.9%
8.9%US$37.00US$29.00n/a7
Aug ’25US$25.60
US$35.14
+37.3%
7.8%US$40.00US$32.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$25.30
US$37.00
+46.2%
4.9%US$40.00US$34.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$27.14
US$39.00
+43.7%
7.8%US$43.00US$34.00n/a6
May ’25US$30.49
US$40.67
+33.4%
8.7%US$47.00US$36.00n/a6
Apr ’25US$37.28
US$40.33
+8.2%
7.4%US$45.00US$36.00n/a6
Mar ’25US$35.95
US$39.83
+10.8%
5.3%US$43.00US$36.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$37.30
US$39.33
+5.5%
6.0%US$43.00US$36.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$36.37
US$39.17
+7.7%
6.7%US$44.00US$36.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$34.75
US$38.83
+11.8%
6.7%US$44.00US$36.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$33.00
US$39.33
+19.2%
7.1%US$44.00US$35.00US$15.616
Oct ’24US$35.94
US$39.83
+10.8%
9.3%US$47.00US$35.00US$17.536
Sep ’24US$35.66
US$38.50
+8.0%
10.3%US$46.00US$34.00US$22.446
Aug ’24US$31.69
US$31.71
+0.08%
8.2%US$36.00US$28.00US$25.607
Jul ’24US$26.61
US$30.00
+12.7%
11.3%US$34.00US$25.00US$25.307
Jun ’24US$21.48
US$29.71
+38.3%
11.9%US$34.00US$25.00US$27.147
May ’24US$23.44
US$32.43
+38.3%
11.5%US$39.00US$27.00US$30.497
Apr ’24US$29.20
US$32.29
+10.6%
11.8%US$39.00US$26.00US$37.287
Mar ’24US$29.40
US$29.83
+1.5%
9.0%US$33.00US$26.00US$35.956
Feb ’24US$26.52
US$27.83
+5.0%
10.0%US$33.00US$24.00US$37.306
Jan ’24US$23.25
US$26.00
+11.8%
8.3%US$29.00US$23.00US$36.376
Dec ’23US$22.78
US$27.17
+19.3%
7.8%US$30.00US$24.00US$34.756
Nov ’23US$23.27
US$24.83
+6.7%
10.2%US$28.00US$21.00US$33.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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