Par Pacific Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Par Pacific Holdings's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 8.4% and 5.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 3.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.6% in 3 years.

Key information

-5.7%

Earnings growth rate

-3.3%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	8.4%
Revenue growth rate	-8.4%
Future return on equity	6.6%
Analyst coverage	Low
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Benign Growth For Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Underpins Its Share Price

Oct 04

Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Using Too Much Debt?

Jul 30

Oil Refiner Par Pacific Has Some Problems

Jul 03

Insufficient Growth At Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Hampers Share Price

Jun 24

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

May 10

These 4 Measures Indicate That Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Apr 26

Do Par Pacific Holdings' (NYSE:PARR) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Apr 10

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Shares Could Be 27% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Mar 02

Par Pacific Holdings Stock: Despite The Run-Up In 2023, It Still Looks Solid

Jan 12

Here's Why We Think Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Jan 10

Insufficient Growth At Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Hampers Share Price

Dec 23

Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Nov 09

Par Pacific Holdings: A 'Buy' For Growth-Focused Investors

Oct 25

Here's Why We Think Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Sep 28

Par Pacific Holdings: Low Valuation But Seemingly Deserved

Aug 08

Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Aug 08

Analysts Just Shipped A Captivating Upgrade To Their Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Estimates

May 10

Does Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Apr 11

We Think Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Might Have The DNA Of A Multi-Bagger

Mar 21

Estimating The Fair Value Of Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR)

Feb 27

Oil Refiner Par Pacific Reported A Much Strong Earnings For 2022

Feb 24

Par Pacific proposes $550M senior secured term loan

Feb 03

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PARR - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	6,971	180	157	287	5
12/31/2025	6,497	104	88	64	4
12/31/2024	7,864	5	-61	170	5
9/30/2024	8,326	312	-19	97	N/A
6/30/2024	8,761	476	177	288	N/A
3/31/2024	8,528	487	374	465	N/A
12/31/2023	8,232	729	497	579	N/A
9/30/2023	7,857	524	596	665	N/A
6/30/2023	7,334	620	682	737	N/A
3/31/2023	7,657	739	549	599	N/A
12/31/2022	7,322	364	400	453	N/A
9/30/2022	6,806	288	240	287	N/A
6/30/2022	6,061	102	-46	-2	N/A
3/31/2022	5,172	-156	-42	-5	N/A
12/31/2021	4,710	-81	-57	-28	N/A
9/30/2021	4,132	-221	-51	-9	N/A
6/30/2021	3,512	-317	-117	-69	N/A
3/31/2021	2,809	-249	-139	-82	N/A
12/31/2020	3,125	-409	-101	-37	N/A
9/30/2020	3,808	-242	-29	33	N/A
6/30/2020	4,520	-311	42	115	N/A
3/31/2020	5,414	-242	96	177	N/A
12/31/2019	5,402	40	22	106	N/A
9/30/2019	4,881	19	1	137	N/A
6/30/2019	4,390	96	-43	84	N/A
3/31/2019	3,837	84	-89	21	N/A
12/31/2018	3,411	39	-12	91	N/A
9/30/2018	3,195	44	11	53	N/A
6/30/2018	2,895	68	N/A	76	N/A
3/31/2018	2,603	59	N/A	94	N/A
12/31/2017	2,443	72	N/A	106	N/A
9/30/2017	2,343	67	N/A	123	N/A
6/30/2017	2,243	20	N/A	67	N/A
3/31/2017	2,092	0	N/A	-11	N/A
12/31/2016	1,865	-46	N/A	-23	N/A
9/30/2016	1,745	-126	N/A	-53	N/A
6/30/2016	1,731	-84	N/A	5	N/A
3/31/2016	1,901	-59	N/A	58	N/A
12/31/2015	2,066	-40	N/A	132	N/A
9/30/2015	2,331	58	N/A	166	N/A
6/30/2015	2,690	4	N/A	117	N/A
3/31/2015	2,908	-32	N/A	40	N/A
12/31/2014	3,108	-47	N/A	-55	N/A
9/30/2014	3,156	-129	N/A	-121	N/A
6/30/2014	2,337	-104	N/A	-121	N/A
3/31/2014	1,564	-89	N/A	-35	N/A
12/31/2013	886	-79	N/A	-36	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PARR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.7% per year).

Earnings vs Market: PARR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PARR's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PARR's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-8.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PARR's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8.4% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PARR's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.6%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/22 10:14
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. is covered by 19 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Rhett Bruno	BofA Global Research
Manav Gupta	Credit Suisse
Timothy Rezvan	CRT Capital Group

Par Pacific Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase from loss to US$0.085 profit, revenue downgraded

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 67%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Price target decreased by 11% to US$27.71

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Recent updates

Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Par Pacific Holdings' (NYSE:PARR) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think

Consensus EPS estimates increase from loss to US$0.085 profit, revenue downgraded

Par Pacific: Rolling The Dice With Debt-Funded Share Buybacks

New major risk - Financial position

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) A Risky Investment?

Consensus EPS estimates have been downgraded.

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 04, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 67%

Benign Growth For Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Underpins Its Share Price

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%

Price target decreased by 11% to US$27.71

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 11%

Price target decreased by 9.2% to US$31.14

Price target decreased by 8.1% to US$32.29

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 36%

New minor risk - Financial position

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Is Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Using Too Much Debt?

Now 22% overvalued

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 06, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 38%

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.(NYSE:PARR) dropped from Russell 3000 Growth Index

Oil Refiner Par Pacific Has Some Problems

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 57%

Insufficient Growth At Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Hampers Share Price

High number of new directors

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) announces an Equity Buyback for $250 million worth of its shares.

First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

These 4 Measures Indicate That Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 16%

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 06, 2024

Do Par Pacific Holdings' (NYSE:PARR) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Insider recently sold US$225k worth of stock

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc., Annual General Meeting, Apr 30, 2024

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Shares Could Be 27% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

New minor risk - Financial position

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Announces Chief Executive Officer Changes

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 27, 2024

Par Pacific Holdings Stock: Despite The Run-Up In 2023, It Still Looks Solid

Here's Why We Think Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Insufficient Growth At Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) Hampers Share Price

CEO & Director exercised options and sold US$2.0m worth of stock

Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Third quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Par Pacific Holdings: A 'Buy' For Growth-Focused Investors

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 06, 2023

Here's Why We Think Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 18%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%

CEO & Director notifies of intention to sell stock

Senior VP & CFO recently sold US$230k worth of stock

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 13%, EPS downgraded

New minor risk - Financial position

Price target increased by 10% to US$35.00

Second quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) announces an Equity Buyback for $250 million worth of its shares.

Par Pacific Holdings: Low Valuation But Seemingly Deserved

Par Pacific Holdings (NYSE:PARR) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Aug 07, 2023

Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:PARR) completed the acquisition of 63,000 bpd Billings Refinery and Associated Marketing and Logistics Assets from Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:XOM).

Patricia Martinez Joins the Board of Directors of Par Pacific Holdings, Inc