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PARR: Ongoing Buybacks And Lower Risk Will Offset Revenue Headwinds

PARR: Share Buybacks And Easing Headwinds Will Support Future Stability

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PARR
AnalystConsensusTarget
Not Invested
Published 14 Sep 2024

Update shared on 30 Nov 2025

Fair value Increased 7.67%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
143.6%
7D
-10.2%

Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $44.00 to $47.38, citing updated fair value calculations and slight adjustments to long-term financial projections.

What's in the News

  • Par Pacific Holdings completed a share repurchase tranche from July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, buying back 515,523 shares for $16.28 million (Key Developments).
  • The company has now repurchased a total of 5,165,264 shares, which represents 9.59% of its outstanding shares, at a total cost of $85.08 million under the buyback program announced on February 26, 2025 (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has increased from $44.00 to $47.38, reflecting an updated outlook on the company's intrinsic worth.
  • The Discount Rate has decreased slightly from 7.33% to 7.25%, indicating a marginal reduction in the perceived risk of future cash flows.
  • The Revenue Growth Forecast has declined further from -4.20% to -4.23%, suggesting continued expectations of a decrease in annual revenues.
  • The Net Profit Margin has remained stable, moving minimally from 1.94% to 1.94%.
  • The Future P/E Ratio has risen moderately from 17.02x to 18.33x, pointing to higher anticipated market valuations for future earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.