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Update shared on03 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 7.58%
AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
US$35.50
3.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
03 Oct
US$34.32
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1Y
80.9%
7D
-7.7%

Analysts have raised their price target for Par Pacific Holdings from $33.00 to $35.50, citing slightly improved profit margin expectations and a lower discount rate, even though they have adopted a more conservative outlook on future revenue growth.

What's in the News

  • Par Pacific Holdings has completed the repurchase of 4,649,741 shares, representing 8.58% of its outstanding shares, for a total of $68.8 million as part of its ongoing buyback program. (Key Developments)
  • Between April 1, 2025 and June 30, 2025, the company repurchased 1,605,727 shares for $27.94 million, accounting for 3.07% of shares. (Key Developments)
  • Par Pacific announced a joint venture with Mitsubishi Corporation and ENEOS Corporation. The venture, known as Hawaii Renewables, LLC, aims to produce renewable fuels at Par Pacific's Kapolei refinery. Mitsubishi and ENEOS will acquire a 36.5% stake for $100 million. (Key Developments)
  • The new facility is expected to be Hawaii's largest renewable fuels manufacturing site. It will have the capacity to produce approximately 61 million barrels per year of renewable diesel, sustainable aviation fuel, and other low-carbon products. (Key Developments)
  • Completion and full operation of the Hawaii Renewables facility are anticipated by the end of the year. The facility aims to help decarbonize significant air travel and utility fuel markets in Hawaii. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target: Increased from $33.00 to $35.50, reflecting a moderately higher valuation.
  • Discount Rate: Decreased slightly from 8.39% to 8.07%, indicating lower perceived risk in the company's future cash flows.
  • Revenue Growth: The forecasted rate has edged down from -6.52% to -6.66%, which suggests a marginally more conservative outlook for future revenues.
  • Net Profit Margin: Improved from 3.90% to 4.13%, which points to stronger expected profitability.
  • Future P/E: Edged up from 6.94x to 7.00x, indicating analysts anticipate slightly higher future earnings multiples.

Disclaimer

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