PBF Energy Valuation

Is PBF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PBF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PBF ($44.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($92.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PBF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PBF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PBF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.1x
PEG Ratio-0.05x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PBF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PBF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.2x
SUN Sunoco
11.4x26.8%US$4.4b
DINO HF Sinclair
6.6x-9.2%US$10.1b
CVI CVR Energy
4.2x-51.1%US$2.7b
WKC World Kinect
26.8x30.7%US$1.5b
PBF PBF Energy
2.9x-60.3%US$5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.9x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PBF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PBF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PBF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio2.9x
Fair PE Ratio3.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (2.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PBF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$44.95
US$55.85
+24.2%
11.7%US$66.00US$45.00n/a13
Jun ’25US$46.33
US$55.92
+20.7%
11.9%US$67.00US$45.00n/a13
May ’25US$52.19
US$58.82
+12.7%
9.9%US$71.00US$48.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$58.58
US$53.85
-8.1%
14.2%US$65.00US$39.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$48.75
US$50.71
+4.0%
13.2%US$64.00US$39.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$50.23
US$49.64
-1.2%
16.1%US$67.00US$35.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$43.96
US$53.00
+20.6%
15.2%US$67.00US$40.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$45.11
US$54.38
+20.6%
14.1%US$67.00US$40.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$48.20
US$54.77
+13.6%
13.4%US$65.00US$40.00n/a13
Oct ’24US$53.53
US$55.33
+3.4%
14.6%US$65.00US$40.00n/a12
Sep ’24US$49.11
US$51.08
+4.0%
14.0%US$62.00US$36.00n/a12
Aug ’24US$48.09
US$47.00
-2.3%
11.8%US$58.00US$36.00n/a13
Jul ’24US$40.94
US$47.00
+14.8%
13.0%US$61.00US$36.00n/a13
Jun ’24US$35.68
US$47.23
+32.4%
13.4%US$61.00US$36.00US$46.3313
May ’24US$35.19
US$52.38
+48.9%
15.4%US$74.00US$43.00US$52.1913
Apr ’24US$43.36
US$53.38
+23.1%
15.1%US$74.00US$42.00US$58.5813
Mar ’24US$46.93
US$50.73
+8.1%
16.7%US$70.00US$36.00US$48.7511
Feb ’24US$40.20
US$47.25
+17.5%
21.4%US$70.00US$29.00US$50.2312
Jan ’24US$40.78
US$47.00
+15.3%
21.4%US$69.00US$27.00US$43.9612
Dec ’23US$39.43
US$48.42
+22.8%
17.7%US$69.00US$35.00US$45.1112
Nov ’23US$46.56
US$46.17
-0.8%
14.7%US$59.00US$35.00US$48.2012
Oct ’23US$35.16
US$40.58
+15.4%
15.2%US$49.00US$32.00US$53.5312
Sep ’23US$31.81
US$38.92
+22.3%
12.7%US$48.00US$32.00US$49.1112
Aug ’23US$32.52
US$38.31
+17.8%
14.1%US$48.00US$30.00US$48.0913
Jul ’23US$30.66
US$36.29
+18.3%
24.2%US$57.00US$25.00US$40.9414
Jun ’23US$34.42
US$30.93
-10.1%
18.6%US$43.00US$20.00US$35.6814

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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