PBF Energy Inc.

NYSE:PBF Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.0b

PBF Energy Valuation

Is PBF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PBF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PBF ($25.15) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($27.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PBF is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PBF?

Key metric: As PBF is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PBF. This is calculated by dividing PBF's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PBF's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.08x
SalesUS$34.90b
Market CapUS$2.95b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PBF's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PBF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
CLMT Calumet
0.4x5.9%US$1.7b
CVI CVR Energy
0.2x1.1%US$1.8b
WKC World Kinect
0.04x3.1%US$1.6b
SUN Sunoco
0.3x5.3%US$6.9b
PBF PBF Energy
0.08x-3.3%US$3.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PBF's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

39 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.6x3.5%
PBF PBF Energy
 0.08x-3.3%US$2.95b
PSX Phillips 66
0.3x-5.2%US$45.57b
MPC Marathon Petroleum
0.3x-3.3%US$42.31b
PBF 0.1xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies39PS01.63.24.86.48+
39 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.6x8.3%
PBF PBF Energy
 0.08x35.4%US$2.95b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PBF's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PBF PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.08x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PBF is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PBF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$25.15
US$30.31
+20.5%
16.1%US$37.00US$20.00n/a13
Dec ’25US$31.49
US$32.00
+1.6%
15.6%US$39.00US$25.00n/a13
Nov ’25US$28.08
US$32.69
+16.4%
16.3%US$40.00US$25.00n/a13
Oct ’25US$31.36
US$39.92
+27.3%
22.6%US$53.00US$25.00n/a12
Sep ’25US$34.06
US$45.42
+33.3%
11.0%US$53.00US$35.00n/a12
Aug ’25US$39.20
US$47.50
+21.2%
12.5%US$57.00US$35.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$46.49
US$52.75
+13.5%
15.8%US$66.00US$37.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$46.33
US$55.92
+20.7%
11.9%US$67.00US$45.00n/a13
May ’25US$52.19
US$58.82
+12.7%
9.9%US$71.00US$48.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$58.58
US$53.85
-8.1%
14.2%US$65.00US$39.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$48.75
US$50.71
+4.0%
13.2%US$64.00US$39.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$50.23
US$49.64
-1.2%
16.1%US$67.00US$35.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$43.96
US$53.00
+20.6%
15.2%US$67.00US$40.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$45.11
US$54.38
+20.6%
14.1%US$67.00US$40.00US$31.4913
Nov ’24US$48.20
US$54.77
+13.6%
13.4%US$65.00US$40.00US$28.0813
Oct ’24US$53.53
US$55.33
+3.4%
14.6%US$65.00US$40.00US$31.3612
Sep ’24US$49.11
US$51.08
+4.0%
14.0%US$62.00US$36.00US$34.0612
Aug ’24US$48.09
US$47.00
-2.3%
11.8%US$58.00US$36.00US$39.2013
Jul ’24US$40.94
US$47.00
+14.8%
13.0%US$61.00US$36.00US$46.4913
Jun ’24US$35.68
US$47.23
+32.4%
13.4%US$61.00US$36.00US$46.3313
May ’24US$35.19
US$52.38
+48.9%
15.4%US$74.00US$43.00US$52.1913
Apr ’24US$43.36
US$53.38
+23.1%
15.1%US$74.00US$42.00US$58.5813
Mar ’24US$46.93
US$50.73
+8.1%
16.7%US$70.00US$36.00US$48.7511
Feb ’24US$40.20
US$47.25
+17.5%
21.4%US$70.00US$29.00US$50.2312
Jan ’24US$40.78
US$47.00
+15.3%
21.4%US$69.00US$27.00US$43.9612
Dec ’23US$39.43
US$48.42
+22.8%
17.7%US$69.00US$35.00US$45.1112

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 22:57
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

PBF Energy Inc. is covered by 26 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Yim ChengBarclays
Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital Markets Equity Research