Delek US Holdings Valuation

Is DK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DK ($27.45) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($20.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does DK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for DK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.2x
WKC World Kinect
0.03x1.8%US$1.5b
PARR Par Pacific Holdings
0.2x-8.3%US$1.6b
CLMT Calumet Specialty Products Partners
0.3x4.9%US$1.3b
GPRE Green Plains
0.4x3.8%US$1.2b
DK Delek US Holdings
0.1x-11.2%US$1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (2.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DK PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$27.45
US$28.85
+5.1%
12.7%US$37.00US$25.00n/a13
May ’25US$26.74
US$30.15
+12.8%
16.1%US$44.00US$25.00n/a13
Apr ’25US$30.71
US$28.77
-6.3%
17.9%US$44.00US$23.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$25.85
US$27.64
+6.9%
18.9%US$44.00US$21.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$26.96
US$28.36
+5.2%
31.0%US$58.00US$19.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$25.80
US$29.38
+13.9%
30.1%US$58.00US$19.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$27.75
US$30.08
+8.4%
27.9%US$58.00US$25.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$26.68
US$29.85
+11.9%
26.9%US$56.00US$23.00n/a13
Oct ’24US$28.41
US$31.08
+9.4%
26.0%US$56.00US$24.00n/a13
Sep ’24US$26.97
US$28.77
+6.7%
29.8%US$56.00US$19.00n/a13
Aug ’24US$27.65
US$27.43
-0.8%
26.4%US$52.00US$20.00n/a14
Jul ’24US$23.95
US$27.57
+15.1%
27.0%US$52.00US$20.00n/a14
Jun ’24US$21.43
US$27.64
+29.0%
27.3%US$52.00US$20.00n/a14
May ’24US$21.60
US$28.00
+29.6%
28.1%US$53.00US$20.00US$26.7414
Apr ’24US$22.95
US$30.00
+30.7%
24.8%US$53.00US$20.00US$30.7114
Mar ’24US$25.80
US$32.15
+24.6%
20.9%US$53.00US$24.00US$25.8513
Feb ’24US$26.42
US$31.77
+20.2%
19.4%US$49.00US$24.00US$26.9613
Jan ’24US$27.00
US$34.38
+27.4%
23.2%US$49.00US$24.00US$25.8013
Dec ’23US$29.79
US$35.46
+19.0%
21.0%US$50.00US$25.00US$27.7513
Nov ’23US$30.50
US$33.85
+11.0%
20.5%US$49.00US$25.00US$26.6813
Oct ’23US$27.14
US$33.77
+24.4%
22.1%US$49.00US$23.00US$28.4113
Sep ’23US$26.45
US$32.08
+21.3%
19.2%US$47.00US$23.00US$26.9712
Aug ’23US$25.99
US$31.34
+20.6%
18.7%US$47.00US$23.00US$27.6514
Jul ’23US$26.66
US$31.50
+18.2%
20.4%US$47.00US$20.00US$23.9514
Jun ’23US$30.59
US$29.62
-3.2%
18.2%US$41.00US$20.00US$21.4313
May ’23US$24.20
US$24.36
+0.6%
26.5%US$34.00US$8.00US$21.6014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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