Delek US Holdings Valuation
Is DK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of DK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: DK ($18.04) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($10.95)
Significantly Below Fair Value: DK is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DK?
Key metric: As DK is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is DK's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.08x |
| Sales | US$13.87b |
| Market Cap | US$1.14b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.2x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 18.8x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does DK's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 0.4x | ||
WKC World Kinect | 0.04x | 3.1% | US$1.6b |
CLMT Calumet | 0.4x | 4.1% | US$1.8b |
REX REX American Resources | 1.1x | 8.3% | US$772.1m |
PARR Par Pacific Holdings | 0.1x | -8.9% | US$955.1m |
DK Delek US Holdings | 0.08x | -12.3% | US$1.1b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: DK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (0.4x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does DK's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?
| 37 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 1.9x | 3.2% | |
DK Delek US Holdings | 0.08x | -12.3% | US$1.14b |
PSX Phillips 66 | 0.4x | -5.4% | US$54.08b |
MPC Marathon Petroleum | 0.4x | -3.6% | US$51.04b |
| 37 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 1.9x | 8.1% | |
DK Delek US Holdings | 0.08x | 35.2% | US$1.14b |
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: DK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.9x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is DK's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.08x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.3x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: DK is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | US$18.04 | US$20.29 +12.4% | 15.9% | US$26.00 | US$15.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Nov ’25 | US$15.40 | US$20.21 +31.3% | 16.4% | US$26.00 | US$15.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Oct ’25 | US$18.81 | US$22.92 +21.9% | 15.4% | US$30.00 | US$17.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Sep ’25 | US$20.42 | US$24.54 +20.2% | 16.4% | US$33.00 | US$18.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Aug ’25 | US$23.59 | US$24.23 +2.7% | 15.9% | US$33.00 | US$19.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Jul ’25 | US$24.97 | US$26.58 +6.5% | 11.8% | US$33.00 | US$20.00 | n/a | 12 |
| Jun ’25 | US$25.46 | US$28.77 +13.0% | 12.9% | US$37.00 | US$25.00 | n/a | 13 |
| May ’25 | US$26.74 | US$30.15 +12.8% | 16.1% | US$44.00 | US$25.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Apr ’25 | US$30.71 | US$28.77 -6.3% | 17.9% | US$44.00 | US$23.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Mar ’25 | US$25.85 | US$27.64 +6.9% | 18.9% | US$44.00 | US$21.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Feb ’25 | US$26.96 | US$28.36 +5.2% | 31.0% | US$58.00 | US$19.00 | n/a | 14 |
| Jan ’25 | US$25.80 | US$29.38 +13.9% | 30.1% | US$58.00 | US$19.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Dec ’24 | US$27.75 | US$30.08 +8.4% | 27.9% | US$58.00 | US$25.00 | n/a | 13 |
| Nov ’24 | US$26.68 | US$29.85 +11.9% | 26.9% | US$56.00 | US$23.00 | US$15.40 | 13 |
| Oct ’24 | US$28.41 | US$31.08 +9.4% | 26.0% | US$56.00 | US$24.00 | US$18.81 | 13 |
| Sep ’24 | US$26.97 | US$28.77 +6.7% | 29.8% | US$56.00 | US$19.00 | US$20.42 | 13 |
| Aug ’24 | US$27.65 | US$27.43 -0.8% | 26.4% | US$52.00 | US$20.00 | US$23.59 | 14 |
| Jul ’24 | US$23.95 | US$27.57 +15.1% | 27.0% | US$52.00 | US$20.00 | US$24.97 | 14 |
| Jun ’24 | US$21.43 | US$27.64 +29.0% | 27.3% | US$52.00 | US$20.00 | US$25.46 | 14 |
| May ’24 | US$21.60 | US$28.00 +29.6% | 28.1% | US$53.00 | US$20.00 | US$26.74 | 14 |
| Apr ’24 | US$22.95 | US$30.00 +30.7% | 24.8% | US$53.00 | US$20.00 | US$30.71 | 14 |
| Mar ’24 | US$25.80 | US$32.15 +24.6% | 20.9% | US$53.00 | US$24.00 | US$25.85 | 13 |
| Feb ’24 | US$26.42 | US$31.77 +20.2% | 19.4% | US$49.00 | US$24.00 | US$26.96 | 13 |
| Jan ’24 | US$27.00 | US$34.38 +27.4% | 23.2% | US$49.00 | US$24.00 | US$25.80 | 13 |
| Dec ’23 | US$29.79 | US$35.46 +19.0% | 21.0% | US$50.00 | US$25.00 | US$27.75 | 13 |
| Nov ’23 | US$30.50 | US$33.85 +11.0% | 20.5% | US$49.00 | US$25.00 | US$26.68 | 13 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
Discover undervalued companies
Civitas Resources
US$4.9b
An exploration and production company, focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas in the Rocky Mountain region, primarily in the Field of the Denver-Julesburg Basin of Colorado.
CIVI
US$51.60
7D
0.9%
1Y
-24.7%
Cenovus Energy
CA$41.0b
Develops, produces, refines, transports, and markets crude oil, natural gas, and refined petroleum products in Canada and internationally.
CVE
CA$16.16
7D
3.7%
1Y
-7.8%
Hafnia
NOK 32.3b
Owns and operates oil product tankers in Bermuda.
HAFN
NOK 5.67
7D
8.4%
1Y
-16.1%