Delek US Holdings Valuation

Is DK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DK ($29.76) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($9.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.3x
PEG Ratio-9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.8x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings
2.7x-50.2%US$1.9b
WKC World Kinect
28.5x41.3%US$1.5b
CVI CVR Energy
4.4x-43.5%US$3.3b
CLMT Calumet Specialty Products Partners
27.6x32.0%US$1.3b
DK Delek US Holdings
96.2x-10.7%US$1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (96.2x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a1.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (96.2x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio96.2x
Fair PE Ratio7.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (96.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$29.76
US$30.15
+1.3%
16.1%US$44.00US$25.00n/a13
Apr ’25US$30.71
US$28.77
-6.3%
17.9%US$44.00US$23.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$25.85
US$27.64
+6.9%
18.9%US$44.00US$21.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$26.96
US$28.36
+5.2%
31.0%US$58.00US$19.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$25.80
US$29.38
+13.9%
30.1%US$58.00US$19.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$27.75
US$30.08
+8.4%
27.9%US$58.00US$25.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$26.68
US$29.85
+11.9%
26.9%US$56.00US$23.00n/a13
Oct ’24US$28.41
US$31.08
+9.4%
26.0%US$56.00US$24.00n/a13
Sep ’24US$26.97
US$28.77
+6.7%
29.8%US$56.00US$19.00n/a13
Aug ’24US$27.65
US$27.43
-0.8%
26.4%US$52.00US$20.00n/a14
Jul ’24US$23.95
US$27.57
+15.1%
27.0%US$52.00US$20.00n/a14
Jun ’24US$21.43
US$27.64
+29.0%
27.3%US$52.00US$20.00n/a14
May ’24US$21.60
US$28.00
+29.6%
28.1%US$53.00US$20.00n/a14
Apr ’24US$22.95
US$30.00
+30.7%
24.8%US$53.00US$20.00US$30.7114
Mar ’24US$25.80
US$32.15
+24.6%
20.9%US$53.00US$24.00US$25.8513
Feb ’24US$26.42
US$31.77
+20.2%
19.4%US$49.00US$24.00US$26.9613
Jan ’24US$27.00
US$34.38
+27.4%
23.2%US$49.00US$24.00US$25.8013
Dec ’23US$29.79
US$35.46
+19.0%
21.0%US$50.00US$25.00US$27.7513
Nov ’23US$30.50
US$33.85
+11.0%
20.5%US$49.00US$25.00US$26.6813
Oct ’23US$27.14
US$33.77
+24.4%
22.1%US$49.00US$23.00US$28.4113
Sep ’23US$26.45
US$32.08
+21.3%
19.2%US$47.00US$23.00US$26.9712
Aug ’23US$25.99
US$31.34
+20.6%
18.7%US$47.00US$23.00US$27.6514
Jul ’23US$26.66
US$31.50
+18.2%
20.4%US$47.00US$20.00US$23.9514
Jun ’23US$30.59
US$29.62
-3.2%
18.2%US$41.00US$20.00US$21.4313
May ’23US$24.20
US$24.36
+0.6%
26.5%US$34.00US$8.00US$21.6014
Apr ’23US$22.19
US$21.33
-3.9%
22.4%US$27.00US$8.00US$22.9515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Price

7D

1Y

Mkt cap

PS

E.Growth

Analysts Target

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.