Abraxas Petroleum Valuation

Is AXAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AXAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AXAS ($0.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($0.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AXAS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AXAS?

Key metric: As AXAS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AXAS. This is calculated by dividing AXAS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AXAS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	0.09x
Earnings	US$37.33m
Market Cap	US$10.27m

AXAS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	0.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AXAS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AXAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	10x
ECTM ECA Marcellus Trust I	6.6x	n/a	US$7.4m
MARP.S Marine Petroleum Trust	10.6x	n/a	US$7.6m
MTR Mesa Royalty Trust	18.2x	n/a	US$11.7m
CHKR Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust	4.6x	n/a	US$22.0m
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum	0.09x	n/a	US$10.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AXAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AXAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	10.8x	8.3%
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum	0.09x	n/a	US$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy	0.03x	-10.3%	US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas	n/a	n/a	US$6.00

No more companies available in this PE range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	10.8x	8.3%
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum	0.09x	n/a	US$10.27m

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AXAS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (0.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (7.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AXAS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AXAS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	0.09x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AXAS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.