Texas Pacific Land Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 3/6
Texas Pacific Land has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 13.8%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 8% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 14.1% per year. Texas Pacific Land's return on equity is 32.4%, and it has net margins of 60%.
Key information
13.83%
Earnings growth rate
14.10%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 33.67% |
| Revenue growth rate | 14.05% |
| Return on equity | 32.37% |
| Net Margin | 60.03% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 28
TPL: Future Payouts Will Rely On Steady Production And Robust Margins
Analysts have slightly adjusted their price target for Texas Pacific Land from $445.50 to $445.00, reflecting updated assumptions around slower revenue growth, a higher future P/E of about 45x, and modestly stronger profit margins. What's in the News Texas Pacific Land reported unaudited consolidated production results for the three months ended March 31, 2026, covering oil, natural gas and NGL output (Key Developments).Seeking Alpha • May 20
Texas Pacific Land: The Water Thesis Can't Be Ignored Any Longer
Summary Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) remains a Strong Buy despite a 23% price drop since my last rating, driven by its evolving business model. TPL's water handling and real estate empire, especially its monopoly position in water sales to data centers, underpins high-margin, recurring revenue streams. The near-complete 10,000-barrel-per-day desalination facility offers proof of concept for scaling toxic-to-clean water conversion, with significant earnings potential. Eliminating heat costs via co-location with data centers could drive $28–$141 million in incremental pre-tax income if scaled, supporting the bullish thesis. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 10
TPL: Higher Dividend Payout Will Support Attractive Future Share Returns
Analysts have maintained their $445.50 price target on Texas Pacific Land, citing updated assumptions that include stable fair value, a higher discount rate, adjusted revenue growth and profit margin estimates, and a lower future P/E expectation. What's in the News On February 10, 2026, Texas Pacific Land's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.60 per share, payable on March 16, 2026 to stockholders of record as of March 2, 2026 (company announcement).Narrative Update • Apr 24
TPL: Steady Dividend Policy And Rich P/E Will Support Fair Share Price
Analysts kept their $445.50 price target for Texas Pacific Land unchanged. This reflects a view that the company’s fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions remain consistent with prior expectations.Narrative Update • Apr 09
TPL: Higher Dividend And Rich P/E Will Keep Shares Fairly Valued
Analysts have raised their price target for Texas Pacific Land by about $1 to $445.50, citing updated assumptions that include revenue growth of 20.45%, a profit margin of 60.67%, and a forward P/E of 43.82x. What's in the News The Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.60 per share, payable on March 16, 2026, to stockholders of record as of March 2, 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 25
TPL: Overvaluation Will Persist Despite Higher Dividend And Rich Future P/E
Analysts kept their price target for Texas Pacific Land steady at $444.50. This reflects unchanged views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that continue to underpin their valuation framework.Narrative Update • Mar 10
TPL: Overvaluation Will Persist Despite Higher Dividend And Rich Future P/E
Analysts maintained their fair value estimate for Texas Pacific Land at $444.50, reflecting unchanged views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions that support their price target rationale. What's in the News Texas Pacific Land's Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.60 per share on February 10, 2026, with payment scheduled for March 16, 2026, to stockholders of record as of March 2, 2026 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Feb 24
TPL: Overvaluation Will Persist Despite Stock Split And Higher Future P/E
Analysts have lifted their price target on Texas Pacific Land from about $281 to roughly $445, reflecting updated views on fair value, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News On February 10, 2026, Texas Pacific Land's board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.60 per share, payable on March 16, 2026 to stockholders of record on March 2, 2026, which is described as a 12.5% increase from the prior quarter regular dividend (company filing).Narrative Update • Feb 10
TPL: Overvaluation Will Persist Despite Stock Split And Higher Assumed Future P/E
Analysts have nudged their price target on Texas Pacific Land slightly higher to about US$281 per share, reflecting updated views on discount rates, long term revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Texas Pacific Land plans a 3-for-1 stock split or significant stock dividend, scheduled for December 23, 2025 (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Feb 07
What Texas Pacific Land Corporation's (NYSE:TPL) 30% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Texas Pacific Land Corporation ( NYSE:TPL ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 30% after a shaky period...Narrative Update • Jan 26
TPL: Overvaluation Is Expected To Persist Despite Stock Split And Buybacks
Analysts have maintained their fair value estimate for Texas Pacific Land at about US$280.83 per share, making only minor adjustments to inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that support this unchanged target. What's in the News Texas Pacific Land Corporation plans a 3 for 1 stock split or significant stock dividend, scheduled for December 23, 2025 (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 11
TPL: Future Returns Will Be Pressured By Overvaluation Despite Rising Production
Analysts have reduced their price target for Texas Pacific Land from about US$842.50 to roughly US$280.83, citing updates to fair value estimates, discount rate assumptions, and a slightly higher future P/E. What's in the News Planned 3 for 1 stock split or significant stock dividend is scheduled for December 23, 2025, affecting Texas Pacific Land Corporation shares (company filing).Narrative Update • Dec 17
TPL: Future Returns Will Reflect Higher Volumes And Stable Premium Multiples
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target for Texas Pacific Land to $842.50 from $842.50, reflecting steady expectations for strong revenue, resilient profit margins, and a sustained premium future P/E multiple. What's in the News Texas Pacific Land filed an amendment to its Certificate of Incorporation to implement a stock split and increase authorized common shares from 46,536,936 to 139,610,808, effective December 22, 2025, at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time (company filing).Narrative Update • Dec 03
TPL: Future Returns Will Reflect Higher Production And Moderating Profit Margins
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target for Texas Pacific Land from approximately $921.93 to $842.50, reflecting expectations for faster top line growth, but lower long term margins and a more conservative valuation multiple. What's in the News Texas Pacific Land completed a share repurchase tranche, buying back 9,000 shares, or 0.04 percent of outstanding stock, for 8.28 million dollars between July 1 and September 30, 2025.Analysis Article • Aug 13
Concerns Surrounding Texas Pacific Land's (NYSE:TPL) Performance
Texas Pacific Land Corporation's ( NYSE:TPL ) stock didn't jump after it announced some healthy earnings. We did some...Analysis Article • Jul 17
Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Texas Pacific Land Corporation's (NYSE:TPL) Shares
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 49.3x Texas Pacific Land Corporation ( NYSE:TPL ) may be sending very...New Narrative • Jul 06
Permian Risks And Water Services Will Shape Future Prospects
Reliance on oil royalties and Permian Basin activity faces long-term risks from decarbonization, reserve declines, and regulatory challenges, threatening growth and margin stability.Seeking Alpha • Apr 01
Decoding Texas Pacific Land: Underfollowed S&P 500 Name With Hidden Optionality
Summary Texas Pacific Land combines its established, high-margin oil and gas royalty business with significant investment in a rapidly growing water segment. Major optionality lies in TPL's initiative to commercialize freeze-thaw desalination for produced water. TPL appears underfollowed and potentially misclassified, suggesting the market may underestimate the long-term value potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Feb 20
Texas Pacific Land: Good Results That Don't Justify The Premium
Summary Texas Pacific Land has increased revenues and net income by almost 12% in 2024, mainly driven by the 33% revenue growth in the water segment. The shift in the capital allocation has cost $105M in shareholder value creation so far. TPL is spending 93% of its cash flow on acquisitions, with a double-digit expected rate of return. Changes in the U.S. energy policy could increase production, but a decline in oil prices could limit growth. Despite the good financial performance, TPL is at its historically high valuation multiples, and I consider the stock to be overvalued. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 27
Texas Pacific Land Needs Massive Growth To Justify Its Valuation
Summary Texas Pacific Land is overvalued with a $30 billion market cap and only $700 million in annual revenue, yielding a mere 1.5% FCF. Despite substantial land assets and no debt, the company needs to multiply its FCF by 5-6x to justify its valuation. The company's limited acreage and declining oil production hinder its ability to generate future shareholder returns. Without access to additional land or significant resource increases, TPL remains a poor long-term investment. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 14
Texas Pacific Land Corporation: Buy And Hold Long-Term Position With High-Growth Potential
Summary The stock of Texas Pacific Land is experiencing aggressive upward momentum, delivering strong gains of +260% over the past two years. Its rally has seen minimal pullbacks, indicating a solid shareholder base. At current levels, the stock is trading 35% below its trend peak, presenting a re-entry opportunity. The Company demonstrates robust cash flow and a solid net income margin, with significant growth potential in the near future. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 30
Texas Pacific Land Has High Growth Prospects That May Be Priced In
Summary Texas Pacific Land Corporation is expanding its water recycling business through acquisitions, positioning the segment for growth on multiple fronts. Future growth may come from digital infrastructure development, including data centers and Bitcoin mining, leveraging TPL's water and land assets in West Texas. TPL's strong financial position, with $534mm in cash and no debt, supports continued asset acquisitions. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Dec 09
Texas Pacific: 70% Down To Fair Value
Summary TPL's recent stock surge was driven by two major factors. Both will have more influence at this point. Valuation metrics suggest a 70% downside is conservative. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 22
Texas Pacific Land: Robust Performance In Q3 - Still Bullish
Summary TPL's unique business model, focusing on land ownership and royalties, has driven its 63% stock surge and strong Q3 performance, making it a standout energy stock. The company's diversified revenue streams from oil and gas royalties, water sales, and surface leases, combined with its debt-free status, ensure robust growth potential. Despite the high valuation, investor confidence remains strong due to TPL's strategic acquisitions, consistent revenue growth, and potential for future oil price rebounds. While dependent on commodity prices, TPL's resilience and untapped revenue potential make it a compelling "BUY" for long-term growth-oriented investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 07
My Best Investment Ever - Why I Remain Bullish On Texas Pacific Land
Summary Texas Pacific Land Corporation has become my largest investment due to its unique business model and significant long-term potential in the Permian Basin. TPL profits from oil, gas, and water rights without incurring exploration costs, making it a high-margin, debt-free company with impressive results. Despite a high P/E ratio of 67x, TPL's innovative contracts, sustainable water solutions, and strategic acquisitions justify continued bullishness. I recommend buying TPL on pullbacks, believing it's one of the best long-term investments, despite its modest dividend yield and high valuation. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 25
Texas Pacific Land: One-Of-A-Kind Energy Stock
Summary Texas Pacific Land Corporation benefits from a diverse revenue stream, including royalties, water services, and land sales, making it a stable investment. Despite missing Q2 2024 EPS projections, TPL's strong operational margins and significant land holdings in the Permian Basin ensure its attractiveness. TPL's unique business model, focusing on land and water rights rather than drilling, offers lower risk and higher predictability compared to traditional energy firms. TPL's high valuation multiples reflect its efficient, capital-light strategy and consistent income growth, making it a reliable choice for investors seeking stability. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 13
Texas Pacific Land: Unique Business Model With Good Prospects, But May Be Overvalued
Summary Texas Pacific Land has a unique business model, holding strategic lands and receiving royalties from various economic activities. Having a high level of earnings quality and solid financial position, TPL is an attractive stock to invest in. TPL regularly pays a dividend, and the current yield is 1.68%. Due to strong financials, the company's shares are trading 23% above their median price, making them overvalued for value investing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Aug 08
Texas Pacific Land: So Bullish, 13% Of My Portfolio Is Just The Beginning
Summary Texas Pacific Land Corporation is a misunderstood company with a near-perfect business model. TPL owns land in the Texas Permian, generating high margins from oil and gas royalties and water services. The company's strategic location in the Permian Basin allows for additional revenue streams such as sand sales and potential data centers. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jul 31
Texas Pacific Land: A Former Great Buy, But Not Anymore
Summary TPL's current share price of $818.85 is unjustifiably high based on its financial ratios and historical performance. Detailed analysis using comparable companies, dividend history, and discounted cash flow projections all indicate substantial downside potential for TPL's stock. Analyst forecasts and historical price trends suggest that TPL's price is likely to decline in the near future, making it a "SELL" for value investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Texas Pacific Land makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 839 | 504 | 83 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 798 | 481 | 81 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 772 | 476 | 76 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 743 | 462 | 83 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 728 | 460 | 82 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 706 | 454 | 83 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 687 | 449 | 84 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 671 | 448 | 75 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 659 | 433 | 80 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 632 | 406 | 89 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 618 | 392 | 91 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 651 | 417 | 89 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 666 | 435 | 80 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 667 | 446 | 63 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 662 | 426 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 594 | 380 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 514 | 318 | 55 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 451 | 270 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 378 | 236 | 50 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 329 | 198 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 290 | 169 | 48 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 303 | 176 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 341 | 200 | 58 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 365 | 214 | 63 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 395 | 236 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 490 | 319 | 61 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 470 | 312 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 445 | 303 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 431 | 306 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 300 | 210 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 246 | 172 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 225 | 154 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 184 | 122 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 154 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 130 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 93 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 77 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 66 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 56 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 60 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 55 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 78 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 76 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 73 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: TPL has a high level of non-cash earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: TPL's current net profit margins (60%) are lower than last year (63.2%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: TPL's earnings have grown by 13.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: TPL's earnings growth over the past year (9.4%) is below its 5-year average (13.8% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: TPL earnings growth over the past year (9.4%) exceeded the Oil and Gas industry 5.8%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: TPL's Return on Equity (32.4%) is considered high.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/29 21:24 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/29 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Texas Pacific Land Corporation is covered by 3 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Hamed Khorsand | BWS Financial Inc. |
| Timothy Rezvan | KeyBanc Capital Markets Inc. |
| Michael Scialla | Stifel, Equities Research |