Stock Analysis

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Occidental Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:OXY) Tunnel

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.4x Occidental Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:OXY) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 36x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Occidental Petroleum's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for Occidental Petroleum

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:OXY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Occidental Petroleum will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
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Is There Any Growth For Occidental Petroleum?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Occidental Petroleum's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 21%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 2.2% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Occidental Petroleum is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Occidental Petroleum's P/E

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Occidental Petroleum's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Occidental Petroleum you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Occidental Petroleum. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:OXY

Occidental Petroleum

Engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally.

Slight risk with mediocre balance sheet.

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