Occidental Petroleum Corporation

NYSE:OXY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$60.1b

Occidental Petroleum Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Occidental Petroleum is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 24.4% and 2.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 17.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.4% in 3 years.

Key information

24.4%

Earnings growth rate

17.51%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth6.3%
Revenue growth rate2.3%
Future return on equity9.37%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated28 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Occidental Petroleum (OXY): The "Permian Fortress" and the 2026 Low-Carbon Pivot

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) closed the April 10, 2026, session at $58.53 USD on the NYSE, experiencing a volatile week where the stock price fluctuated between $58 and $63 alongside shifting geopolitical headlines. The central narrative for 2026 is "The Fortress Transition" : Having spent the last two years aggressively de-leveraging following the CrownRock acquisition, Occidental has emerged as a cash-flow juggernaut with a "Permian First" strategy.

OXY: Lean 2026 Capex Plan Will Support Higher Future P/E

Occidental Petroleum's analyst price target has been raised from $64.22 to $74.00. Analysts attribute this change to higher long term oil price assumptions, improved capital efficiency in the Permian, and expectations for stronger cash flow and margins reflected in updated revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E inputs.

OXY: Geopolitics And Efficiency Assumptions Will Pressure Future Cash Flow Reliability

Occidental Petroleum's fair value estimate has edged from $40.00 to about $39.50 as analysts adjust price targets in response to updated oil price assumptions, capital efficiency expectations, and a higher future P/E backdrop reflected in recent research. Analyst Commentary Across recent research, analysts are updating their views on Occidental as new oil price decks, capital spending plans, and geopolitical risks filter through their models.

OXY: Capital Efficiency And Geopolitical Pricing Are Expected To Support Deleveraging

Narrative Update Our fair value estimate for Occidental Petroleum has moved to $52.52 from $48.94 as analysts lift price targets into the mid to high $50s, citing updated oil price assumptions, improved capital efficiency and free cash flow outlooks, and the impact of heightened geopolitical risk on energy markets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Occidental clusters around higher fair value views, with most price targets now in the mid to high $50s and a few outliers on either side.

OXY: Lean 2026 Capex And Deleveraging Progress Will Support A Higher Future P/E

The updated analyst price target for Occidental Petroleum edges higher to $64.22, reflecting analysts' focus on the company's more capital efficient 2026 budget, its progress on deleveraging and efficiency gains, and model updates following a Q4 earnings beat and production outperformance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are generally responding positively to Occidental Petroleum's latest update, with several research shops adjusting their models after the Q4 earnings beat, production outperformance, and a leaner 2026 capital plan.

Occidental: Impressive Q4 Earnings Fail To Convince Me To Buy

Feb 20

OXY: Strong Q3 Production Trends Will Support A Higher Future P E

Analysts have slightly reduced their fair value estimate for Occidental Petroleum to about US$63.35, and recent Street research shows a mix of small price target raises and cuts as they factor in updated growth, profitability and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Occidental reflects a mix of fine tuning around targets rather than big swings in conviction, with several firms making modest changes as they refresh models for updated guidance and sector assumptions.

OXY: Operational Efficiencies And Production Guidance Are Expected To Support Deleveraging

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Occidental Petroleum by about $0.70 to roughly $48.94, citing refreshed sector models that reflect softer revenue expectations, slightly higher discount rates, modestly better profit margins, and a small reset to future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research suggests that analysts are refining their views on Occidental Petroleum rather than making wholesale shifts, with several highlighting updated financial models, revised guidance and changing views on oil and gas exposure.

OXY: Capital Efficiency And Higher Production Are Expected To Accelerate Deleveraging

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Occidental Petroleum slightly lower to about US$49.63 from roughly US$49.92, reflecting reduced price targets alongside updated expectations for revenue, margins and future P/E multiples following recent sector research. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight that updated exploration and production models after Q3 results still point to operations, efficiencies and costs moving in a constructive direction.

OXY: Upcoming Unit Sale Will Drive Faster Deleveraging And Cash Return Capacity

Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Occidental Petroleum by about $0.17 per share to approximately $49.92. This reflects slightly weaker margin and growth assumptions, even as recent model updates factor in the strategic OxyChem divestiture and a less favorable oil macro backdrop.

OXY: Upcoming Unit Sale Will Drive Faster Debt Reduction And Cash Returns

Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Occidental Petroleum by about $1 per share to roughly the low $50s. This reflects more cautious oil macro assumptions, updated 2025 to 2026 guidance and modeling, and a balanced view of the OxyChem divestiture that improves leverage but tempers near term valuation upside.

OXY: Upcoming $10 Billion Unit Sale Will Drive Debt Reduction And Cash Returns

Occidental Petroleum's analyst price target saw a modest uptick to approximately $50.21 per share, as analysts balanced mixed updates to future expectations for margins, revenue, and sector outlooks that support their revised valuations. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from Street research present a nuanced outlook on Occidental Petroleum, as analysts adjust their targets based on evolving macro trends and company developments.

OXY: Upcoming Petrochemical Unit Sale Will Accelerate Debt Reduction And Cash Returns

Occidental Petroleum's consensus analyst price target saw a modest decrease of approximately $0.56 per share this quarter. Analysts incorporated generally cautious outlooks on future margins, balance sheet changes following OxyChem's sale, and evolving capital allocation expectations.

Balance Sheet Improvement And Cash Returns Will Shape Future Resilience

Occidental Petroleum's average analyst price target saw a slight decrease to approximately $50.48 from $51.55. Analysts reflect cautious optimism amid recent business divestitures, updated commodity price projections, and a reassessment of growth and margin expectations.

Global Oil Demand And Carbon Capture Will Underpin Resilience

Occidental Petroleum’s average analyst price target has edged up slightly to approximately $47. This reflects cautious optimism about the company's recent chemical business sale and anticipated balance sheet improvements, though concerns remain regarding profit margins and revenue growth.

Global Oil Demand And Carbon Capture Will Underpin Resilience

Analysts modestly raised Occidental Petroleum’s price target to $51.00 as updated commodity forecasts reflect cautious optimism for gas demand amid sector-wide oil price volatility and industry leadership shifts, resulting in only a marginal upward fair value revision. Analyst Commentary Analysts are recalibrating price targets to reflect updated commodity price outlooks, particularly adjusting for a more cautious stance on oil while maintaining a positive skew for gas prices over the next year.

There May Be Some Bright Spots In Occidental Petroleum's (NYSE:OXY) Earnings

Aug 13
There May Be Some Bright Spots In Occidental Petroleum's (NYSE:OXY) Earnings

Weekly Picks: 📊 OXY's Diversification Strategy, AGX's Tailwinds, and SAP's Valuation Risks

Jun 10
Weekly Picks: 📊 OXY's Diversification Strategy, AGX's Tailwinds, and SAP's Valuation Risks

OXY's

Jun 10
OXY's
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Occidental Petroleum is set to achieve a 16% profit margin improvement

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) - Future Outlook1. Business Position in 3, 5, or 10 YearsOccidental Petroleum's future business position will likely be shaped by its core oil and gas operations, its aggres

Occidental Petroleum: $65 Oil Price Won't Last

Apr 18

Occidental Petroleum: I'd Buy The Crash

Mar 30

Occidental Petroleum: Carbon Capture Is Where It's At

Feb 23

Occidental Petroleum: 3 Reasons We Prefer The 7% YTM Bonds For Berkshire's Bet

Feb 17

Occidental Petroleum: New Sanctions To Boost Oil Markets In 2025

Jan 16

Occidental Petroleum: A Top Buffett Stock On Sale

Jan 10

Occidental Petroleum: Buffett Teaches The Market A Lesson

Dec 24

Occidental: Foggy Outlook And Overvaluation

Dec 15

Occidental Petroleum: Forget The Next Quarter

Nov 13

Exxon Mobil Is Both Cheaper And Better Than Occidental Petroleum

Oct 30

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:OXY - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202824,9883,9466,27412,9376
12/31/202724,7613,5696,25612,4499
12/31/202626,1954,2577,13813,14910
12/31/202521,5931,3503,82510,532N/A
9/30/202526,6011,3843,55711,254N/A
6/30/202527,1501,6864,84412,146N/A
3/31/202527,5532,4114,51611,580N/A
12/31/202422,0192,1525,17611,439N/A
9/30/202427,1373,5004,17711,322N/A
6/30/202427,1223,6903,64110,769N/A
3/31/202427,0073,3054,34711,445N/A
12/31/202323,1562,3866,24812,308N/A
9/30/202329,3044,4476,79813,044N/A
6/30/202331,5365,8278,26814,182N/A
3/31/202335,5108,75311,34116,441N/A
12/31/202236,63412,42111,67316,810N/A
9/30/202236,32812,05312,01315,927N/A
6/30/202233,73010,14911,35514,778N/A
3/31/202229,0126,5269,61412,763N/A
12/31/202125,9561,9807,56410,434N/A
9/30/202122,203-7216,1998,746N/A
6/30/202119,519-5,2044,3436,480N/A
3/31/202116,489-12,0461,7123,526N/A
12/31/202017,809-14,3771,4203,955N/A
9/30/202020,277-14,3664594,560N/A
6/30/202022,028-11,4055416,113N/A
3/31/202023,520-3,8301,3587,766N/A
12/31/201920,911-9701,0087,375N/A
9/30/201919,0451,073N/A7,866N/A
6/30/201918,4023,831N/A7,865N/A
3/31/201918,0654,037N/A7,608N/A
12/31/201817,8244,114N/A7,669N/A
9/30/201816,5543,904N/A6,590N/A
6/30/201814,3372,231N/A5,272N/A
3/31/201813,3141,893N/A5,365N/A
12/31/201712,5081,305N/A4,861N/A
9/30/201711,804542N/A4,355N/A
6/30/201711,453116N/A3,919N/A
3/31/201710,924-525N/A3,199N/A
12/31/201610,090-1,002N/A3,384N/A
9/30/201610,108-6,239N/A3,433N/A
6/30/201610,576-8,607N/A3,803N/A
3/31/201611,514-8,291N/A3,479N/A
12/31/201512,480-8,146N/A3,351N/A
9/30/201513,981-6,065N/A5,252N/A
6/30/201515,769-2,468N/A6,870N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: OXY's forecast earnings growth (24.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: OXY's earnings (24.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: OXY's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: OXY's revenue (2.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: OXY's revenue (2.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: OXY's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/01 17:09
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is covered by 51 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Thomas DriscollBarclays
Wei JiangBarclays