Stock Analysis

Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of US$0.13

NYSE:MUR
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Murphy Oil Corporation's (NYSE:MUR) investors are due to receive a payment of US$0.13 per share on 1st of September. Including this payment, the dividend yield on the stock will be 2.3%, which is a modest boost for shareholders' returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Murphy Oil

Murphy Oil Might Find It Hard To Continue The Dividend

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. Murphy Oil is not generating a profit, but its free cash flows easily cover the dividend, leaving plenty for reinvestment in the business. We generally think that cash flow is more important than accounting measures of profit, so we are fairly comfortable with the dividend at this level.

Over the next year, EPS might fall by 4.8% based on recent performance. This means that the company won't turn a profit over the next year, but with healthy cash flows at the moment the dividend could still be okay to continue.

historic-dividend
NYSE:MUR Historic Dividend August 7th 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least 1 cut in the last 10 years. Since 2011, the first annual payment was US$1.10, compared to the most recent full-year payment of US$0.50. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 7.6% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

With a relatively unstable dividend, and a poor history of shrinking dividends, it's even more important to see if EPS is growing. Murphy Oil has seen earnings per share falling at 4.8% per year over the last five years. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends.

Murphy Oil's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we don't think this company makes a great dividend stock, even though the dividend wasn't cut this year. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We don't think Murphy Oil is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Murphy Oil that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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