Murphy Oil (MUR) Stock Overview
Operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 0/6 |
| Future Growth | 3/6 |
| Past Performance | 2/6 |
| Financial Health | 3/6 |
| Dividends | 1/6 |
MUR Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 29 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Murphy Oil Corporation Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | US$38.70 |
| 52 Week High | US$43.34 |
| 52 Week Low | US$20.31 |
| Beta | 0.54 |
| 1 Month Change | -0.23% |
| 3 Month Change | 13.03% |
| 1 Year Change | 65.88% |
| 3 Year Change | 16.46% |
| 5 Year Change | 84.64% |
| Change since IPO | 2,111.43% |
Recent News & Updates
Seeking Alpha • May 08
Murphy Oil: Aggressive Choices Vindicated
Summary Murphy Oil is allocating more capital to exploration. MUR’s Vietnam program stands out for lower risk and significant reserve additions. Production in Côte d’Ivoire remains on hold pending a favorable pricing agreement. Planning for fiscal 2027 is underway amid expectations of sustained higher commodity prices. Vietnam currently shows a 100% well success rate and near-term production growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • May 01
MUR: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Oil Prices And Exploration Outcomes
The analyst price target for Murphy Oil has increased from $32.40 to $41.93 as analysts factor in updated oil price assumptions, a revised P/E outlook of about 14.5x, and modestly higher profit margin expectations, while keeping discount rate assumptions broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Murphy Oil centers on revised oil price decks, valuation multiples and the impact of geopolitical risk on long term cash generation.Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 08
Murphy Oil: Aggressive Choices Vindicated
Summary Murphy Oil is allocating more capital to exploration. MUR’s Vietnam program stands out for lower risk and significant reserve additions. Production in Côte d’Ivoire remains on hold pending a favorable pricing agreement. Planning for fiscal 2027 is underway amid expectations of sustained higher commodity prices. Vietnam currently shows a 100% well success rate and near-term production growth potential. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • May 01
MUR: Future Cash Returns Will Rely On Oil Prices And Exploration Outcomes
The analyst price target for Murphy Oil has increased from $32.40 to $41.93 as analysts factor in updated oil price assumptions, a revised P/E outlook of about 14.5x, and modestly higher profit margin expectations, while keeping discount rate assumptions broadly unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Murphy Oil centers on revised oil price decks, valuation multiples and the impact of geopolitical risk on long term cash generation.
Narrative Update • Apr 17
MUR: Higher Oil Price Decks Will Support Stronger Future Cash Returns
Murphy Oil's analyst price target has been revised slightly higher by a few dollars. Analysts point to updated oil price assumptions, a modestly lower future P/E, and small tweaks to revenue growth and profit margin expectations as key drivers behind the change.Narrative Update • Apr 02
MUR: Higher Long Term Oil Price Decks Will Drive Future Upside
The analyst price target for Murphy Oil has been revised from $37 to about $56, as analysts factor in higher long term oil price assumptions, modestly softer margin and growth inputs, and a higher future P/E multiple supported by a wave of recent target increases and ratings upgrades across major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Murphy Oil has turned more constructive, with several firms lifting price targets and upgrading ratings as they reset long term oil price assumptions and valuation frameworks.Narrative Update • Mar 18
MUR: Future Cash Returns Will Be Limited By Exploration And Cash Flow Risks
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Murphy Oil higher to $32.40, reflecting updated oil price assumptions, a lower discount rate, and revised expectations for revenue growth, margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent price target increases across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research shows a clear split between bullish and cautious views on Murphy Oil, with most of the debate centered on how higher oil price assumptions, geopolitical risk, and execution on exploration projects should feed into valuation, cash flow potential, and appropriate P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Mar 05
MUR: Exploration Outcomes In Cote D'Ivoire And Vietnam Will Shape Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price expectations for Murphy Oil higher, with the updated fair value moving to $37.00 as they weigh mixed target revisions across the Street, along with exploration updates in Cote d'Ivoire and Vietnam. Analyst Commentary Street research on Murphy Oil has been mixed, with several firms adjusting price targets in both directions and maintaining largely neutral ratings.Narrative Update • Mar 03
MUR: Future Cash Returns Will Be Constrained By Weaker Free Cash Flow
Analysts have lowered their average price target on Murphy Oil by a few dollars to around $31. This reflects a mix of recent revisions, balancing reduced targets from several firms with a smaller number of increases tied to views on project execution, free cash flow strength, and capital return capacity.Narrative Update • Feb 17
MUR: Future Cash Flow And Vietnam Projects Will Shape Balanced Risk Reward
Analysts have adjusted our Murphy Oil fair value estimate to $30.73 from $28.93. This reflects updated views on growth, profitability and valuation after a mix of recent target cuts and raises across the Street.
Narrative Update • Feb 03
MUR: Vietnam Appraisal Optimism Will Likely Outrun Weaker Free Cash Flow Profile
Analysts have nudged their average price targets on Murphy Oil slightly higher to about $22.29, reflecting a blend of recent target increases tied to Vietnam appraisal progress and cash flow estimates, alongside several modest target cuts that factor in execution risks and sensitivity to weaker oil prices. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Murphy Oil highlights a split view, with some firms lifting price targets around the Hai Su Vang appraisal progress in Vietnam and stronger cash flow estimates, while others are trimming targets to reflect execution and commodity price risk.Narrative Update • Jan 20
MUR: Vietnam Appraisal Optimism Will Likely Outrun Free Cash Flow Strength
Analysts have nudged their price targets on Murphy Oil higher by up to US$3, citing stronger cash flow estimates, production guidance that came in above prior expectations, and growing optimism around the Hai Su Vang appraisal and potential Vietnam update. Analyst Commentary Recent research has been mixed, with several firms lifting their price targets while still flagging execution risks, cash flow sensitivity and valuation constraints versus peers.Analysis Article • Jan 06
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR)
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to...Narrative Update • Jan 05
MUR: Future Cash Flow Will Likely Lag Despite Stronger Production Guidance
Analysts have nudged their targets on Murphy Oil higher overall, with price objectives now ranging from about $25 to $34. This reflects updated views on cash flow, production guidance, and operating costs.Narrative Update • Dec 14
MUR: Future Cash Flow May Disappoint Despite Higher Production Guidance
Analysts have modestly trimmed their fair value estimate for Murphy Oil by $1 to $22 per share, balancing cautious assumptions on long term revenue growth and margins against improving cash flow forecasts and higher production outlooks. These developments have led several firms to raise their price targets into the mid to high $20s and low $30s.Narrative Update • Nov 28
MUR: Future Cash Flow Stability And Production Execution Will Balance Industry Uncertainties
Murphy Oil's analyst price target was recently increased by $0.60. Analysts attribute this change to improved production guidance and rising cash flow expectations.Narrative Update • Nov 14
MUR: Future Cash Flow Strength And Execution Will Offset Margin Pressures Ahead
Murphy Oil’s analyst price target has increased from $27.53 to $28.33 per share, as analysts cite stronger production forecasts, higher cash flow estimates, and improving industry outlooks as the primary drivers for the upward revision. Analyst Commentary Street research on Murphy Oil following recent earnings and operational updates has highlighted areas of both optimism and caution among analysts.Analysis Article • Jul 20
Returns On Capital At Murphy Oil (NYSE:MUR) Have Stalled
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically...Seeking Alpha • Jan 31
Murphy Oil: The Chances Of Finding An Elephant Are Still Realistic
Summary The company holds game-changing prospects and maintains a strong balance sheet under new CEO leadership. MUR focuses on steady growth, though offshore projects cause earnings to be 'bumpy' due to significant project impacts and routine maintenance downtimes. Net debt is at its lowest levels in a long time. Murphy Oil keeps dividends low to be able to redirect funds to large projects. This year's earnings were lower than last year's earnings. But the potential to find an elephant still exists. This is a conservative way to go about it. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 02
Murphy Oil Has Strong Return Potential
Summary Murphy Oil Corporation's diversified portfolio spans the Americas, with significant assets in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, and exploration in Vietnam, aiming for mid single-digit production growth. The company is committed to reducing long-term debt to $1 billion by mid-2025, enhancing financial stability and positioning for downturns. Murphy's 3.0 capital allocation strategy focuses on shareholder returns, with 50% of FCF allocated to buybacks and dividends, achieving double-digit returns. The primary risk is oil price volatility, which could impact cash flow and MUR shareholder returns, despite the company's strong asset base and strategic investments. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 15
Murphy Oil Corporation: CEO Change Will Now Occur
Summary Roger Jenkins steps down as CEO, with Eric Hambly taking over. Murphy Oil aims for organic growth while maintaining exposure to potential elephants. The company is buying back stock due to undervaluation. Impressive interest rates and increased unsecured credit facilities highlight financial strength. The workover in the Gulf of Mexico was unusually large this year. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 29
Critical Operations And Share Buybacks Promising Bright Future In Oil Exploration
Murphy Oil's exploration focus, especially in Vietnam and the Gulf of Mexico, points to opportunities for revenue and reserve growth.Seeking Alpha • Aug 21
Murphy Oil: A Contrarian Idea
Summary The market was spooked by a lower-than-expected production guidance. But long-term growth projects are underway. Murphy Oil is a small offshore player that handles risk well. Offshore production in Vietnam is set to begin in 2026. Maintaining a stellar balance sheet is a top priority. The company has partnerships with some of the biggest names in the industry. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaShareholder Returns
| MUR | US Oil and Gas | US Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | -7.1% | -3.3% | 1.5% |
| 1Y | 65.9% | 28.3% | 25.5% |
Return vs Industry: MUR exceeded the US Oil and Gas industry which returned 29.4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: MUR exceeded the US Market which returned 26.2% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| MUR volatility | |
|---|---|
| MUR Average Weekly Movement | 7.0% |
| Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement | 6.1% |
| Market Average Movement | 7.2% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in US Market | 16.0% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in US Market | 3.2% |
Stable Share Price: MUR has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.
Volatility Over Time: MUR's weekly volatility (7%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 813 | Eric Hambly | www.murphyoilcorp.com |
Murphy Oil Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil and gas exploration and production company in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It explores for and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Murphy Oil Corporation was formerly known as Murphy Corporation and changed its name to Murphy Oil Corporation in 1964.
Murphy Oil Corporation Fundamentals Summary
| MUR fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | US$5.39b |
| Earnings (TTM) | US$83.61m |
| Revenue (TTM) | US$2.75b |
66.4x
P/E Ratio2.0x
P/S RatioIs MUR overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| MUR income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | US$2.75b |
| Cost of Revenue | US$595.03m |
| Gross Profit | US$2.15b |
| Other Expenses | US$2.07b |
| Earnings | US$83.61m |
Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Earnings Date
n/a
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.58 |
| Gross Margin | 78.36% |
| Net Profit Margin | 3.04% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 29.6% |
How did MUR perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
3.6%
Current Dividend Yield226%
Payout RatioDoes MUR pay a reliable dividends?
See MUR dividend history and benchmarks| Murphy Oil dividend dates | |
|---|---|
| Ex Dividend Date | May 18 2026 |
| Dividend Pay Date | Jun 01 2026 |
| Days until Ex dividend | 4 days |
| Days until Dividend pay date | 18 days |
Does MUR pay a reliable dividends?
See MUR dividend history and benchmarksCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/12 11:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/12 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Murphy Oil Corporation is covered by 40 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Philip Weiss | Argus Research Company |
| Wei Jiang | Barclays |
| Mark Gilman | Benchmark Company |