Murphy Oil Corporation

NYSE:MUR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.0b

Murphy Oil Valuation

Is MUR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of MUR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: MUR ($34.87) is trading below our estimate of future cash flow value ($199.5)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: MUR is trading below future cash flow value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MUR?

Key metric: As MUR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MUR. This is calculated by dividing MUR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MUR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio48x
EarningsUS$103.75m
Market CapUS$4.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MUR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MUR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas
16x10.96%US$5.3b
GPOR Gulfport Energy
9.9x10.43%US$3.9b
CRC California Resources
14.8x-24.42%US$5.4b
CRK Comstock Resources
15.5x10.86%US$5.9b
MUR Murphy Oil
48x30.36%US$5.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48x) compared to the peer average (14x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MUR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

9 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAFX XCF Global
0.4xn/aUS$45.95m
TOPS Top Ships
2xn/aUS$22.16m
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
RUBI Rubico
0.8xn/aUS$5.36m
MUR 48.0xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies16PE0816243240+
9 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (14.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MUR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MUR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio48x
Fair PE Ratio22.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MUR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (48x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MUR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$34.87
US$30.87
-11.48%
13.06%US$37.00US$22.00n/a15
Feb ’27US$30.09
US$30.60
+1.69%
14.06%US$37.00US$22.00n/a15
Jan ’27US$31.25
US$29.40
-5.92%
15.05%US$37.00US$22.00n/a15
Dec ’26US$31.57
US$28.93
-8.35%
14.47%US$37.00US$22.00n/a15
Nov ’26US$28.30
US$27.87
-1.53%
16.09%US$37.00US$22.00n/a15
Oct ’26US$29.59
US$27.40
-7.40%
15.70%US$37.00US$23.00n/a15
Sep ’26US$24.86
US$27.53
+10.75%
15.91%US$37.00US$23.00n/a15
Aug ’26US$23.68
US$27.47
+15.99%
17.17%US$40.00US$23.00n/a15
Jul ’26US$23.79
US$26.73
+12.37%
20.23%US$42.00US$22.00n/a15
Jun ’26US$20.93
US$26.93
+28.68%
19.81%US$42.00US$22.00n/a15
May ’26US$21.11
US$29.40
+39.27%
23.79%US$45.00US$22.00n/a15
Apr ’26US$28.75
US$34.41
+19.69%
15.98%US$51.00US$28.00n/a17
Mar ’26US$26.49
US$36.65
+38.34%
16.16%US$53.00US$31.00US$33.1517
Feb ’26US$26.63
US$38.35
+44.02%
18.84%US$54.00US$31.00US$30.0917
Jan ’26US$30.26
US$41.12
+35.88%
15.87%US$57.00US$34.00US$31.2517
Dec ’25US$32.47
US$41.76
+28.63%
14.68%US$57.00US$35.00US$31.5717
Nov ’25US$31.11
US$42.82
+37.65%
14.64%US$61.00US$36.00US$28.3017
Oct ’25US$34.51
US$45.24
+31.08%
13.14%US$60.00US$38.00US$29.5917
Sep ’25US$37.28
US$49.41
+32.54%
14.59%US$67.00US$41.00US$24.8617
Aug ’25US$39.77
US$52.11
+31.03%
10.80%US$67.00US$44.00US$23.6818
Jul ’25US$41.07
US$53.06
+29.19%
11.04%US$68.00US$44.00US$23.7917
Jun ’25US$42.79
US$52.88
+23.59%
11.65%US$68.00US$41.00US$20.9317
May ’25US$44.18
US$52.92
+19.78%
12.12%US$70.00US$41.00US$21.1118
Apr ’25US$46.43
US$48.50
+4.46%
12.75%US$60.00US$41.00US$28.7516
Mar ’25US$40.45
US$47.56
+17.58%
11.52%US$60.00US$41.00US$26.4916
US$30.87
Fair Value
13.0% overvalued intrinsic discount
15
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/03/03 05:43
End of Day Share Price 2026/03/03 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Murphy Oil Corporation is covered by 36 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Philip WeissArgus Research Company
Wei JiangBarclays
Mark GilmanBenchmark Company