Stock Analysis

Mesa Royalty Trust (NYSE:MTR) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.4875

NYSE:MTR
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The board of Mesa Royalty Trust (NYSE:MTR) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of $0.4875 on the 31st of July, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. This will take the annual payment to 9.2% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

Check out our latest analysis for Mesa Royalty Trust

Mesa Royalty Trust Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Mesa Royalty Trust's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Earnings per share could rise by 7.1% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could reach 109%, which probably can't continue without starting to put some pressure on the balance sheet.

historic-dividend
NYSE:MTR Historic Dividend May 22nd 2023

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $2.25 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of $2.15. Payments have been decreasing at a very slow pace in this time period. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

Mesa Royalty Trust May Have Challenges Growing The Dividend

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. We are encouraged to see that Mesa Royalty Trust has grown earnings per share at 7.1% per year over the past five years. However, the company isn't reinvesting a lot back into the business, so we would expect the growth rate to slow down somewhat in the future.

Our Thoughts On Mesa Royalty Trust's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Mesa Royalty Trust's payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 4 warning signs for Mesa Royalty Trust you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.