Stock Analysis

Liberty Energy Inc. (NYSE:LBRT) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 25%

NYSE:LBRT
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Liberty Energy Inc. (NYSE:LBRT) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 23% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may still consider Liberty Energy as an attractive investment with its 9.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Liberty Energy hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Liberty Energy

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LBRT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Liberty Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Liberty Energy?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Liberty Energy would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 39%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 2.3% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Liberty Energy is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Liberty Energy's P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Liberty Energy maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Liberty Energy (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Liberty Energy. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.