It's not a stretch to say that Kosmos Energy Ltd.'s (NYSE:KOS) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for Oil and Gas companies in the United States, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for Kosmos Energy
What Does Kosmos Energy's Recent Performance Look Like?
Kosmos Energy has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company's revenue trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the industry. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Kosmos Energy's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
Kosmos Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 74% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.5% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 1.3% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Kosmos Energy is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Kosmos Energy's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Kosmos Energy (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to be mindful of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:KOS
Kosmos Energy
Engages in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas along the Atlantic Margins in the United States.
Undervalued with proven track record.