Kosmos Energy Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Kosmos Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 103.8% and 0.03% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 110.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 0.5% in 3 years.
Key information
103.8%
Earnings growth rate
110.15%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas earnings growth | 11.3% |
| Revenue growth rate | 0.03% |
| Future return on equity | 0.53% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 12 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • May 12
Kosmos 1Q26 Review: Why The 16% Post-Earnings Drop Is A Gift
Summary Kosmos Energy Ltd. (KOS) reported Q1 2026 EPS of -$0.07, missing consensus of $0.08 and triggering a 6% pre-market decline. My BUY rating remain, and increased the price target from $4.97 to $7.26 on the back of higher oil prices. Management demonstrated Turnaround progress with annualized oil production increasing more than 20% YoY. The 16% drawdown after earnings is more related to market rotation than to Kosmos idiosyncratic risk. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • May 10
A Leveraged Bet on Offshore Cash Flow and Balance-Sheet Repair
Rating: Speculative Buy / High-risk value Style: Leveraged offshore E&P recovery Core debate: Is Kosmos just another debt-heavy small-cap oil and gas producer, or is it an underappreciated offshore cash-flow story with improving production, falling costs, and meaningful equity upside if management keeps deleveraging? Executive view Kosmos is not a “quality compounder” in the way Prysmian or Quanta are.Analysis Article • May 08
Results: Kosmos Energy Ltd. Delivered A Surprise Loss And Now Analysts Have New Forecasts
Kosmos Energy Ltd. ( NYSE:KOS ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 6.2% to...
Narrative Update • Apr 30
KOS: Future Equity Issuance And Asset Impairment Will Pressure Share Price
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Kosmos Energy, citing updated assumptions that include a fair value of $2.0 versus $1.1 previously; a discount rate of 12.32% versus 8.36%; revenue growth of a 2.34% decline versus 3.11% growth; a profit margin of 14.88% versus 19.66%; and a future P/E of 6.83x versus 2.47x. What's in the News Kosmos Energy filed a follow-on equity offering of common stock totaling US$175 million, indicating plans to raise additional capital through the equity market.
Narrative Update • Apr 16
KOS: Future Production Gains And Equity Raise Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Kosmos Energy slightly higher to $4.30, reflecting updated views on discount rate assumptions, revenue growth expectations, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Kosmos Energy filed a follow-on equity offering of US$175 million in common stock, expanding the available share float through a new capital raise.Narrative Update • Apr 02
KOS: Future Production And Equity Raise Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target for Kosmos Energy to $4.30 from $3.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E, which they say lead to a higher assessed fair value. What's in the News Kosmos Energy filed a follow-on equity offering of US$175 million in common stock.
Narrative Update • Mar 18
KOS: Future Output And Equity Raises Will Coexist With Ongoing Impairment Risk
Analysts have raised their price target for Kosmos Energy to $2.51 from $2.24, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a much higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Kosmos Energy filed a follow-on equity offering of $175 million in common stock, adding to its available capital base.Narrative Update • Mar 04
KOS: Future Production And LNG Ramp Will Still Face Asset Impairment Risk
Analysts have raised their price target for Kosmos Energy to $2.24 from $2.10, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, a lower discount rate, and revised expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Kosmos issued production guidance for 2026, with expected volumes of 72,000 to 76,000 boe per day for the first quarter and 70,000 to 78,000 boe per day for the full year, providing clearer visibility on planned output levels.Narrative Update • Feb 18
KOS: Future Production Increases Will Support Stronger Returns Beyond 2025
Analysts have made a small trim to their $2.13 price target for Kosmos Energy, bringing it to $2.10 as they update assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: adjusted from $2.13 to $2.10, a small downward change in the modelled estimate.Narrative Update • Feb 04
KOS: Future Production Increases Will Support Stronger Returns Beyond 2025
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Kosmos Energy to US$2.13 from US$2.10, citing an updated view that slightly lower discount rate assumptions, along with marginally stronger projected profit margins and future P/E, support a small uplift in fair value. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate: Adjusted slightly higher from US$2.10 to about US$2.13 per share.Narrative Update • Jan 21
KOS: Future Production Guidance Will Support A More Optimistic Share Outlook
Analysts have revised their price target for Kosmos Energy to US$3.50 per share, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Kosmos Energy issued new production guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, expecting output in a range of 66,000 to 72,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, giving you a clearer view of anticipated volumes into year end (Key Developments).Analysis Article • Jan 15
Even With A 27% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Kosmos Energy Ltd.'s (NYSE:KOS) Performance Completely
Those holding Kosmos Energy Ltd. ( NYSE:KOS ) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the...Narrative Update • Jan 06
KOS: Future Production Increases Will Support Stronger Returns Through 2025
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Kosmos Energy from US$2.65 to US$2.10. This reflects slightly softer projected revenue growth, a modestly lower future P/E assumption, and broadly unchanged profitability expectations.Narrative Update • Dec 20
KOS: Future Production Gains Will Support Stronger Returns Through 2025
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Kosmos Energy, citing a refined fair value estimate of approximately 2.65 dollars per share and a lower future P/E assumption, partially offset by improved profit margin expectations. What's in the News Kosmos Energy reported third quarter 2025 net production of 65,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day, a 3% increase versus the second quarter of 2025 (company announcement of operating results).Analysis Article • Dec 13
Kosmos Energy (NYSE:KOS) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Narrative Update • Dec 06
KOS: Future Production Stability Will Support Stronger Returns Through 2025
Narrative Update on Kosmos Energy Analysts have modestly trimmed their price target on Kosmos Energy from approximately $3.08 to $2.78 per share, reflecting slightly softer expectations for long term revenue growth, profitability, and future valuation multiples. What's in the News Reported third quarter 2025 net production of 65,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day, a 3% increase versus the second quarter of 2025 (company announcement of operating results).Narrative Update • Nov 22
KOS: Rising Profit Margins Will Drive Stronger Returns Through 2025
Analysts have reduced their price target for Kosmos Energy from $3.34 to $3.08 per share. This change reflects updated expectations for slower revenue growth and a slightly higher discount rate, despite improved profit margins and a lower projected future P/E ratio.Analysis Article • Nov 06
Investors Give Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE:KOS) Shares A 27% Hiding
Kosmos Energy Ltd. ( NYSE:KOS ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a...Narrative Update • Nov 05
KOS: Upcoming Production Increase Will Drive Share Price Higher
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target for Kosmos Energy from $3.54 to $3.34. This change reflects updated expectations around growth and profitability in their valuation models.Analysis Article • Oct 08
Returns At Kosmos Energy (NYSE:KOS) Are On The Way Up
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is...Narrative Update • Sep 26
Full LNG Production Ramp-Up Will Expand Global Supply
Kosmos Energy’s consensus price target has decreased as weaker net profit margin and slightly lower revenue growth forecasts have weighed on analyst expectations, resulting in a reduced fair value estimate from $3.83 to $3.54. What's in the News Kosmos Energy provided Q3 and full-year 2025 production guidance of 65,000–71,000 boe/d and 65,000–70,000 boe/d, respectively.Narrative Update • Sep 11
Full LNG Production Ramp-Up Will Expand Global Supply
Kosmos Energy's modestly lower price target reflects a slight decline in its future P/E ratio, while profitability remains steady, resulting in a marginal downward revision to a $3.83 fair value. What's in the News Kosmos Energy reported Q2 2025 production averaging 63,500 boepd, below guidance due to delayed GTA ramp-up and lower Jubilee output.Analysis Article • Aug 26
Is Kosmos Energy (NYSE:KOS) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Jul 24
Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE:KOS) Screens Well But There Might Be A Catch
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x Kosmos Energy Ltd. ( NYSE:KOS ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Analysis Article • Jul 03
Kosmos Energy (NYSE:KOS) Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? One...Analysis Article • May 01
Is Kosmos Energy (NYSE:KOS) Using Too Much Debt?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analysis Article • Apr 05
Earnings Working Against Kosmos Energy Ltd.'s (NYSE:KOS) Share Price Following 34% Dive
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Kosmos Energy Ltd. ( NYSE:KOS ) shares are down a considerable 34% in the last...Seeking Alpha • Mar 06
Strong Production Potential, Cash Flow Generation Should Give Kosmos Energy A Bright Future
Summary Kosmos Energy offers a compelling value play with a low P/E ratio of 5.90, despite substantial debt and some liquidity concerns. Key assets like the Jubilee Oil Field and the developing GTA field present significant long-term growth opportunities. Kosmos plans to reduce CapEx in 2025, improving cash flow and enabling debt reduction, potentially leading to dividends by late 2026. Risks include fluctuating commodity prices and natural disasters, but the current low stock price makes KOS a buy for patient investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaEarnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,552 | 70 | 234 | 673 | 8 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,594 | 49 | 223 | 674 | 10 |
| 12/31/2026 | 1,734 | -59 | 302 | 697 | 9 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,370 | -815 | -70 | 241 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,289 | -700 | -180 | 134 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,392 | -329 | -131 | 274 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 1,489 | -160 | -245 | 308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 1,547 | -12 | -304 | 405 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 1,676 | 190 | -255 | 678 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 1,786 | 218 | -297 | 796 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 1,904 | 258 | -29 | 1,039 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 1,727 | 222 | -190 | 834 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 1,702 | 214 | -167 | 765 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 1,707 | 78 | -118 | 739 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 1,637 | 215 | -140 | 744 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 1,984 | 308 | 80 | 1,005 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,249 | 227 | 321 | 1,130 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,308 | 440 | -31 | 1,094 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,051 | 189 | -249 | 740 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 1,815 | 14 | -167 | 751 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,332 | -78 | -564 | 374 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,034 | -169 | -221 | 319 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,060 | -177 | -32 | 501 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 803 | -320 | -257 | 166 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 804 | -412 | -183 | 196 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 980 | -455 | -72 | 249 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,112 | -402 | 13 | 343 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,380 | -186 | 271 | 629 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1,499 | -56 | N/A | 628 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 1,359 | 166 | N/A | 571 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 1,245 | 23 | N/A | 482 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,064 | -97 | N/A | 260 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 895 | -94 | N/A | 260 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 772 | -402 | N/A | 232 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 681 | -339 | N/A | 255 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 602 | -244 | N/A | 250 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 578 | -223 | N/A | 237 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 547 | -157 | N/A | 212 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 443 | -154 | N/A | 59 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 352 | -254 | N/A | 6 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 310 | -284 | N/A | 52 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 276 | -203 | N/A | 103 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 326 | -83 | N/A | 333 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 400 | -50 | N/A | 465 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 447 | -70 | N/A | 441 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 503 | 34 | N/A | 344 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 545 | -8 | N/A | 241 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: KOS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: KOS is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: KOS is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: KOS's revenue (0.03% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: KOS's revenue (0.03% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: KOS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (0.5%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/17 23:15 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Kosmos Energy Ltd. is covered by 34 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Thomas Driscoll | Barclays |
| Subhasish Chandra | Benchmark Company |
| Ilkin Karimli | Berenberg |