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KOS: Rising Profit Margins Will Drive Stronger Returns Through 2025

Update shared on 22 Nov 2025

Fair value Decreased 8.01%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
-70.9%
7D
1.8%

Analysts have reduced their price target for Kosmos Energy from $3.34 to $3.08 per share. This change reflects updated expectations for slower revenue growth and a slightly higher discount rate, despite improved profit margins and a lower projected future P/E ratio.

What's in the News

  • Kosmos Energy reported third quarter 2025 production results of 65,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day, up 3 percent compared to the second quarter (Announcement of Operating Results).
  • The company issued guidance for the fourth quarter of 2025, expecting production between 66,000 and 72,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (Corporate Guidance: New/Confirmed).
  • Full-year 2025 production is projected to be 65,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day (Corporate Guidance: New/Confirmed).

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased from $3.34 to $3.08 per share, reflecting a modest reduction in fair value estimates.
  • The discount rate has risen slightly, increasing from 11.8% to 12.5%.
  • Revenue growth expectations have fallen from 6.1% to 5.2% annually.
  • Net profit margin is projected to improve significantly, rising from 8.2% to 14.2%.
  • The future P/E ratio estimate has dropped notably, decreasing from 17.2x to 9.1x.

Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.