Did Kinder Morgan’s (KMI) Data Center-Driven LNG Growth Just Redefine Its Energy Transition Role?

Simply Wall St
  • Kinder Morgan, Inc. presented at the 2025 Wolfe Research Utilities, Midstream & Clean Energy Conference in New York on September 30, 2025, highlighting its scale as the largest LNG provider to the Midwest and its integral role in U.S. pipeline infrastructure.
  • An important insight for investors is Kinder Morgan's connection to surging AI-powered data center demand, which is fueling higher natural gas use and strengthening the company's position in the energy transition.
  • We'll now explore how Kinder Morgan’s expanding natural gas pipeline contracts for LNG exports impact its investment outlook and growth assumptions.

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Kinder Morgan Investment Narrative Recap

If you’re considering Kinder Morgan as an investment, the essential factor to believe in is the enduring demand for U.S. natural gas, especially as AI-powered data center growth and LNG export opportunities accelerate. The company’s recent conference presentation reinforces its leadership in LNG infrastructure, but this does not materially shift the current short-term catalyst: rising natural gas transportation volumes tied to new export contracts. The largest risk remains Kinder Morgan’s high leverage, which could curb flexibility if commodity or contract cycles turn.

Of recent announcements, Kinder Morgan’s Q2 2025 earnings growth stands out, sales rose to US$4,042 million, with net income increasing to US$715 million year-on-year. This financial momentum supports confidence around LNG contract expansions and incremental pipeline projects, both of which underpin growth assumptions discussed at the conference. However, forward-looking investors should continue weighing financial resilience against expansion opportunities.

Yet on the flip side, investors should also keep in mind Kinder Morgan’s elevated net debt position and how that may affect...

Read the full narrative on Kinder Morgan (it's free!)

Kinder Morgan's outlook anticipates $20.2 billion in revenue and $3.7 billion in earnings by 2028. This is based on an expected 8.2% annual revenue growth rate and a $1.0 billion increase in earnings from $2.7 billion today.

Uncover how Kinder Morgan's forecasts yield a $31.06 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

KMI Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Three Simply Wall St Community members estimate Kinder Morgan's fair value in a wide band from US$28.06 to US$44.91 per share. While individual outlooks diverge, the company’s high debt levels could influence its capacity for future growth and financial flexibility, so make sure you explore different viewpoints.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Kinder Morgan - why the stock might be worth as much as 58% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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