Loading...
DINO logo

HF Sinclair CorporationNYSE:DINO Stock Report

Market Cap US$9.9b
Share Price
US$53.96
My Fair Value
US$58.6
7.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
1Y32.2%
7D2.0%
Portfolio Value
​
View

HF Sinclair Corporation

NYSE:DINO Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.9b

HF Sinclair (DINO) Stock Overview

Operates as an independent energy company in the United States. More details

DINO fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation2/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health5/6
Dividends2/6

Rewards

Earnings are forecast to grow 33.03% per year

Risk Analysis

Dividend of 3.71% is not well covered by earnings


DINO Community Fair Values

Create Narrative

See what 30 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.

DINO logo
HF Sinclair

Rising Electric Vehicle Adoption Will Shrink Refining While Midstream Steadies

Key Takeaways Heavy reliance on traditional fuels leaves HF Sinclair vulnerable to declining demand and heightened earnings volatility from global shifts and limited diversification. Rising regulatory, environmental, and capital pressures threaten profitability, restrict access to capital, and may erode long-term shareholder value.
View narrative
US$38.47
FV
40.3% overvalued intrinsic discount
-3.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
0users have followed this narrative
DINO logo
HF Sinclair

Secular Trends Will Sustain Demand For Refined Products And Renewables

Key Takeaways Tightening supply and resilient demand for refined products are boosting utilization rates, margins, and stable cash flows for the company’s refining segment. Strategic investments in renewables, value chain integration, and efficiency are expanding margin capture and supporting greater returns through improved profitability and cost reductions.
View narrative
US$59.08
FV
8.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
1.37%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
1users have followed this narrative
DINO logo
HF Sinclair

Global Diesel Demand And Renewables Will Unlock New Opportunities

Key Takeaways Strong fuel demand, renewable diesel expansion, and efficiency improvements support higher margins and diversified revenue opportunities across core and emerging business lines. Disciplined capital returns, share buybacks, and balance sheet strength position the company for sustained earnings per share growth and increased shareholder value.
View narrative
US$58.13
FV
7.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
1.79%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
12users have followed this narrative
DINO logo
HF Sinclair

HF Sinclair Corp: A Nuanced Investment Case

HF Sinclair Corporation represents an intricate investment proposition in the ever-shifting dynamics of the energy sector. Against the background of recent underperformance, a combination of factors suggests probable undervaluation, for which a closer look might be warranted.
View narrative
US$98.48
FV
45.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
5.00%
Revenue growth p.a.
0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
8users have followed this narrative
View Stock Community

HF Sinclair Corporation Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for HF Sinclair
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceUS$53.96
52 Week HighUS$55.63
52 Week LowUS$24.66
Beta0.98
1 Month Change2.82%
3 Month Change22.80%
1 Year Change32.19%
3 Year Change-11.47%
5 Year Change188.09%
Change since IPO27,527.45%

Recent News & Updates

Recent updates

HF Sinclair: Approaching The Summit Of A Refining Peak (Hold)

Sep 02

HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.50

Aug 04
HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.50

HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Second-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Aug 03
HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Second-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

Does HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jul 16
Does HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Here's Why Shareholders Should Examine HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) CEO Compensation Package More Closely

May 07
Here's Why Shareholders Should Examine HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) CEO Compensation Package More Closely

HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.50

May 04
HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Has Announced A Dividend Of $0.50

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Revenues Yet

Apr 21
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Revenues Yet

HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Mar 27
HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.50

Feb 26
HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.50

Is HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Trading At A 38% Discount?

Feb 21
Is HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Trading At A 38% Discount?

Regional Factors Slowing Refiner HF Sinclair

Feb 10

HF Sinclair Corp: A Nuanced Investment Case

HF Sinclair Corporation represents an intricate investment proposition in the ever-shifting dynamics of the energy sector. Against the background of recent underperformance, a combination of factors s

HF Sinclair: The Market Says The Bottom Is In (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 05

We Think HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Dec 14
We Think HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Little Excitement Around HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Revenues

Nov 22
Little Excitement Around HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Revenues
User avatar

Optimizing Operations And Expanding Markets Brighten Prospects, Despite Analysts Predicting A Squeeze On Margins And Earnings

Efforts in refining and renewable segments aim to boost revenue, with a focus on enhanced reliability and efficient feedstock usage.

HF Sinclair: Featured Stock From Our July Safest Dividend Yields Model Portfolio

Aug 23

HF Sinclair: Not Cheap Enough To Benefit From A Refining Upturn

Jul 17

HF Sinclair: Attractive Cash Flow, Stable Crack Spread

May 29

HF Sinclair: This Dinosaur Has No Teeth

Feb 24

HF Sinclair Remains A 'Hold', Despite Its Strong Business Performance

Dec 14

HF Sinclair Appears Fairly Valued Right Now

Oct 04

Shareholder Returns

DINOUS Oil and GasUS Market
7D2.0%-0.09%2.6%
1Y32.2%0.2%19.0%

Return vs Industry: DINO exceeded the US Oil and Gas industry which returned -0.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: DINO exceeded the US Market which returned 18.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is DINO's price volatile compared to industry and market?
DINO volatility
DINO Average Weekly Movement4.2%
Oil and Gas Industry Average Movement5.6%
Market Average Movement6.5%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market17.3%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market3.0%

Stable Share Price: DINO has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: DINO's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
19475,297Tim Gowww.hfsinclair.com

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as an independent energy company in the United States. It operates through five segments: Refining, Renewables, Marketing, Lubricants and Specialties, and Midstream. The company produces and markets gasoline, diesel fuel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, specialty lubricant products, specialty chemicals, specialty and modified asphalt, and others.

HF Sinclair Corporation Fundamentals Summary

How do HF Sinclair's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
DINO fundamental statistics
Market capUS$9.90b
Earnings (TTM)-US$86.00m
Revenue (TTM)US$26.86b
0.4x
P/S Ratio
-117.4x
P/E Ratio

Is DINO overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
DINO income statement (TTM)
RevenueUS$26.86b
Cost of RevenueUS$25.49b
Gross ProfitUS$1.38b
Other ExpensesUS$1.46b
Earnings-US$86.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2025

Next Earnings Date

Oct 30, 2025

Earnings per share (EPS)-0.46
Gross Margin5.12%
Net Profit Margin-0.32%
Debt/Equity Ratio29.1%

How did DINO perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

3.7%
Current Dividend Yield
-439%
Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/29 11:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/29 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

HF Sinclair Corporation is covered by 29 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Yim ChengBarclays
Theresa ChenBarclays