Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without any revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.' A loss-making company is yet to prove itself with profit, and eventually the inflow of external capital may dry up.
If this kind of company isn't your style, you like companies that generate revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in CVR Energy (NYSE:CVI). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide CVR Energy with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.
Check out our latest analysis for CVR Energy
How Fast Is CVR Energy Growing Its Earnings Per Share?
In the last three years CVR Energy's earnings per share took off; so much so that it's a bit disingenuous to use these figures to try and deduce long term estimates. As a result, we'll zoom in on growth over the last year, instead. Outstandingly, CVR Energy's EPS shot from US$3.35 to US$7.86, over the last year. Year on year growth of 134% is certainly a sight to behold.
It's often helpful to take a look at earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. Unfortunately, CVR Energy's revenue dropped 5.8% last year, but the silver lining is that EBIT margins improved from 7.4% to 13%. While not disastrous, these figures could be better.
In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.
Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of CVR Energy's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.
Are CVR Energy Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?
It's a good habit to check into a company's remuneration policies to ensure that the CEO and management team aren't putting their own interests before that of the shareholder with excessive salary packages. For companies with market capitalisations between US$2.0b and US$6.4b, like CVR Energy, the median CEO pay is around US$6.4m.
The CVR Energy CEO received US$4.3m in compensation for the year ending December 2022. That is actually below the median for CEO's of similarly sized companies. While the level of CEO compensation shouldn't be the biggest factor in how the company is viewed, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of a culture of integrity, in a broader sense.
Should You Add CVR Energy To Your Watchlist?
CVR Energy's earnings have taken off in quite an impressive fashion. This appreciable increase in earnings could be a sign of an upward trajectory for the company. What's more, the fact that the CEO's compensation is quite reasonable is a sign that the company is conscious of excessive spending. So faced with these facts, it seems that researching this stock a little more may lead you to discover an investment opportunity that meets your quality standards. We should say that we've discovered 3 warning signs for CVR Energy (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in the US with promising growth potential and insider confidence.
Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CVI
CVR Energy
Engages in the petroleum refining and marketing, and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing activities in the United States.
Moderate growth potential and slightly overvalued.