Stock Analysis

Crescent Energy Company's (NYSE:CRGY) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

NYSE:CRGY
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When close to half the companies operating in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may consider Crescent Energy Company (NYSE:CRGY) as an attractive investment with its 0.6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Crescent Energy

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:CRGY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 17th 2024

How Has Crescent Energy Performed Recently?

Crescent Energy has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue performance if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Crescent Energy.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Crescent Energy would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 183% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 8.4%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Crescent Energy's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Crescent Energy's P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

To us, it seems Crescent Energy currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Crescent Energy (2 are a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Crescent Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.