Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE:CEIX) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for CONSOL Energy
How Much Debt Does CONSOL Energy Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that CONSOL Energy had US$185.4m of debt in September 2023, down from US$418.1m, one year before. But it also has US$248.6m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$63.1m net cash.
How Healthy Is CONSOL Energy's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that CONSOL Energy had liabilities of US$454.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$896.6m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$248.6m as well as receivables valued at US$159.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$943.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
CONSOL Energy has a market capitalization of US$3.03b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, CONSOL Energy also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
On top of that, CONSOL Energy grew its EBIT by 73% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CONSOL Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While CONSOL Energy has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent two years, CONSOL Energy recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Summing Up
Although CONSOL Energy's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$63.1m. And we liked the look of last year's 73% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is CONSOL Energy's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that CONSOL Energy is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CEIX
CONSOL Energy
Produces and sells bituminous coal in the United States and internationally.
Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet.