Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies CONSOL Energy Inc. (NYSE:CEIX) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for CONSOL Energy
How Much Debt Does CONSOL Energy Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that CONSOL Energy had debt of US$346.9m at the end of December 2022, a reduction from US$604.6m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$273.1m, its net debt is less, at about US$73.8m.
A Look At CONSOL Energy's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that CONSOL Energy had liabilities of US$448.8m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.09b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$273.1m as well as receivables valued at US$191.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$1.07b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since CONSOL Energy has a market capitalization of US$2.04b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
With debt at a measly 0.091 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 12.4 times, it's clear that CONSOL Energy is not a desperate borrower. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. Even more impressive was the fact that CONSOL Energy grew its EBIT by 905% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CONSOL Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last two years, CONSOL Energy actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Happily, CONSOL Energy's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its level of total liabilities. Zooming out, CONSOL Energy seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with CONSOL Energy (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:CEIX
CONSOL Energy
Produces and sells bituminous coal in the United States and internationally.
Very undervalued with excellent balance sheet.