Stock Analysis

Why OPAL Fuels' (NASDAQ:OPAL) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Published
NasdaqCM:OPAL

The subdued market reaction suggests that OPAL Fuels Inc.'s (NASDAQ:OPAL) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

See our latest analysis for OPAL Fuels

NasdaqCM:OPAL Earnings and Revenue History November 14th 2024

An Unusual Tax Situation

We can see that OPAL Fuels received a tax benefit of US$8.9m. This is meaningful because companies usually pay tax rather than receive tax benefits. The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. Assuming the tax benefit is not repeated every year, we could see its profitability drop noticeably, all else being equal. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On OPAL Fuels' Profit Performance

As we have already discussed OPAL Fuels reported that it received a tax benefit, rather than paying tax, in the last year. Given that sort of benefit is not recurring, a focus on the statutory profit might make the company seem better than it really is. Because of this, we think that it may be that OPAL Fuels' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for OPAL Fuels (1 is potentially serious!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of OPAL Fuels' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.